Oddsworth

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders v MI Emirates: too close to call

Knight Riders 51%. MI Emirates 49%.

ILT20|5, match 13

Monday 30 November 2026, 6:30pm GMT+4Sheikh Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi

Prediction locks 30th November, 14:00 UTCWhen we've said 50–60%, the favourite won 850 of 1541

The sides

MeasureKnight RidersMI Emirates
XI caps2,301T20s between the XI1,908T20s between the XI
Top-seven average24.8T20 batting25.4T20 batting

When Knight Riders bat

+0.50 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6+0.35MiddleOvers 7–15+0.76DeathOvers 16–20+0.19

When MI Emirates bat

−0.30 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6−0.10MiddleOvers 7–15−0.28DeathOvers 16–20−0.57

Knight Riders bat first

First innings184
MI Emirates chase in18.2 overs
57%MI Emirates win
43%Knight Riders win

MI Emirates bat first

First innings163
Knight Riders chase in17.2 overs
59%Knight Riders win
41%MI Emirates win

Too close to call, but Knight Riders stronger on paper

This one is too close to call, with Abu Dhabi Knight Riders at 51% and MI Emirates at 49%. The Knight Riders are the stronger side on paper, worth about 19 runs more than MI Emirates, almost all of it from bowling: their attack is rated about 17 runs better, while the batting edge is only about 2 runs. The projected first-innings totals point the same way, 184 for the Knight Riders and 163 for MI Emirates against a par of 169.

MI Emirates' top order faces a trial against left-arm wrist spin: their average against that type is 21 since 2023, against 31 against all bowling, a fall of about a third, while Full Member top orders drop by about a tenth. The Knight Riders have Usman Tariq, a left-arm wrist spinner, in our XI, and his 10 wickets at an economy of 6.05 in his last 10 T20 matches make him the obvious threat.

What total is safe?

First inningsDefended
Under 15019%16 of 85
150–16946%21 of 46
170–18977%30 of 39
190–20975%12 of 16
210+100%9 of 9

The case for Knight Riders

  • Their bowling is rated about 17 runs better than MI Emirates', with Sunil Narine and Usman Tariq both rated more than 7 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.
  • Finn Allen is rated 6.3 runs better than an average opener and has 185 runs at a strike rate of 134 in his last 10 T20 matches.

Batting standout

Finn Allen

Finn Allen

185 runs, SR 134, 12 sixes in the last 10. Rated +6.3 runs a game with the bat.

185 runs at a strike rate of 134 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 6.3 runs better than an average opener.

Bowling standouts

Sunil Narine

Sunil Narine

12 wkts, econ 4.87 in the last 10. Rated +8.4 runs a game with the ball.

12 wickets at an economy of 4.87 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 8.4 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.

Usman Tariq

Usman Tariq

10 wkts, econ 6.05 in the last 10. Rated +7.7 runs a game with the ball.

10 wickets at an economy of 6.05 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 7.7 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.

The case for MI Emirates

  • Sherfane Rutherford is rated 2.9 runs better than an average middle-order batter and has 271 runs at a strike rate of 166 in his last 10 T20 matches.
  • Fazalhaq Farooqi is rated 3.6 runs better than an average bowler over four overs, and Allah Ghazanfar is rated 3.9 runs better.

Batting standout

Sherfane Rutherford

Sherfane Rutherford

271 runs, SR 166, 17 sixes in the last 10. Rated +2.9 runs a game with the bat.

271 runs at a strike rate of 166 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 2.9 runs better than an average middle-order batter.

Bowling weaknesses

Romario Shepherd

Romario Shepherd

4 wkts, econ 12.61 in the last 10. Rated −1.3 runs a game with the ball.

4 wickets at an economy of 12.61 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 1.3 runs worse than an average bowler over three overs.

WA

Wasim Akram

6 wkts, econ 9.84 in the last 10. Rated −1.1 runs a game with the ball.

6 wickets at an economy of 9.84 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 1.1 runs worse than an average bowler over two overs.

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