Oddsworth

Sharjah Warriorz v Desert Vipers: too close to call

Warriorz 49%. Vipers 51%.

ILT20|5, match 18

Friday 4 December 2026, 6:30pm GMT+4Sharjah Cricket Stadium, Sharjah

Prediction locks 4th December, 14:00 UTCWhen we've said 50–60%, the favourite won 850 of 1541

The sides

MeasureWarriorzVipers
XI caps2,656T20s between the XI2,149T20s between the XI
Top-seven average23.5T20 batting29.3T20 batting

When Warriorz bat

−0.31 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6−0.91MiddleOvers 7–15−0.11DeathOvers 16–20+0.06

When Vipers bat

−0.08 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6+0.08MiddleOvers 7–15−0.21DeathOvers 16–20−0.03

Warriorz bat first

First innings164
Vipers chase in18.1 overs
59%Vipers win
41%Warriorz win

Vipers bat first

First innings165
Warriorz chase in18 overs
57%Warriorz win
43%Vipers win

Too close to call as Vipers hold a one-run edge on paper

Too close to call: the win chances sit at 51% for Desert Vipers and 49% for Sharjah Warriorz, and the paper gap is about 2 runs. Vipers are the stronger side on paper, worth 20.4 runs against an average XI to Warriorz's 18.4, with the edge mostly from bowling: 13.8 to 12.4, and 0.5 runs with the bat. The projected first innings are 165 for Vipers and 164 for Warriorz, against a par score of 166.

Sharjah Warriorz's top order is the softest part of either XI. Tanish Suri is rated 2.7 runs worse than an average batter and has 197 runs at a strike rate of 110.7 in his last 10 T20 matches, though that form is 21 months old. James Vince, by contrast, has 395 runs at 151.9 in his last 10 and is rated 2.8 runs better than an average opener.

What total is safe?

First inningsDefended
Under 15021%15 of 73
150–16952%13 of 25
170–18974%25 of 34
190–20969%11 of 16
210+83%5 of 6

The case for Warriorz

  • A strong spin attack: Adil Rashid is rated 4.1 runs better than an average bowler and Mohammad Nabi 2.9, with Sikandar Raza adding 2.2.
  • James Vince and Tom Banton give the top order two proven scorers, rated 2.8 and 2.5 runs better than average, with 395 and 193 runs in their last 10 T20 matches.

Batting standouts

James Vince

James Vince

395 runs, SR 152, 16 sixes in the last 10. Rated +2.8 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 2.8 runs better than an average opener, with 395 runs at a strike rate of 151.9 and 16 sixes in his last 10 T20 matches. He has 458 runs in 15 innings at this ground.

Sikandar Raza

Sikandar Raza

196 runs, SR 127, 10 sixes in the last 10. Rated +2.2 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 2.2 runs better than average with both bat and ball. He has 196 runs and 5 wickets in his last 10 T20 matches, and 336 runs and 16 bowling innings at this ground.

Bowling standout

Adil Rashid

Adil Rashid

13 wkts, econ 6.93 in the last 10. Rated +4.1 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 4.1 runs better than an average bowler over four overs, with 13 wickets at an economy of 6.93 in his last 10 T20 matches. He has 10 bowling innings at this ground.

Batting weakness

TS

Tanish Suri

197 runs, SR 111, 3 sixes in the last 10. Rated −2.7 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 2.7 runs worse than an average batter. He has 197 runs at a strike rate of 110.7 in his last 10 T20 matches, a window that ended 21 months ago.

The case for Vipers

  • The stronger bowling unit, rated 13.8 runs against an average XI to Warriorz's 12.4, led by Mujeeb Ur Rahman at 4.8 runs better than an average bowler.
  • A deeper batting card: Fakhar Zaman, Babar Azam and Andries Gous are all rated above average, with 403, 549 and 301 runs in their last 10 T20 matches.

Bowling standouts

Mujeeb Ur Rahman

Mujeeb Ur Rahman

13 wkts, econ 8.27 in the last 10. Rated +4.8 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 4.8 runs better than an average bowler over four overs, the best bowling rating in either XI. He has 13 wickets at an economy of 8.27 in his last 10 T20 matches.

Shadab Khan

Shadab Khan

13 wkts, econ 5.56 in the last 10. Rated +2.9 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 2.9 runs better than average with the ball and 1.4 with the bat. He has 132 runs at a strike rate of 220 and 13 wickets at an economy of 5.56 in his last 10 T20 matches.

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