Oddsworth

MI Emirates v Sharjah Warriorz: too close to call

MI Emirates 49%. Warriorz 51%.

ILT20|5, match 20

Sunday 6 December 2026, 2:00pm GMT+4Sheikh Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi

Prediction locks 6th December, 09:30 UTCWhen we've said 50–60%, the favourite won 850 of 1541

The sides

MeasureMI EmiratesWarriorz
XI caps1,908T20s between the XI2,656T20s between the XI
Top-seven average25.4T20 batting23.5T20 batting

When MI Emirates bat

+0.08 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6+0.40MiddleOvers 7–15+0.06DeathOvers 16–20−0.27

When Warriorz bat

+0.08 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6−0.55MiddleOvers 7–15+0.43DeathOvers 16–20+0.21

MI Emirates bat first

First innings161
Warriorz chase in17.4 overs
59%Warriorz win
41%MI Emirates win

Warriorz bat first

First innings177
MI Emirates chase in18.4 overs
57%MI Emirates win
43%Warriorz win

Too close to call as Sharjah's bowling meets MI Emirates' batting

This is too close to call: MI Emirates have a 49% win chance and Sharjah Warriorz 51%. Sharjah are stronger on paper by about 3 runs, but the split is stark. MI Emirates hold a batting edge of about 6 runs, while Sharjah's bowling is about 9 runs better, and that bowling superiority just tips the overall balance. The projected first-innings totals point to Sharjah scoring more (177) than MI Emirates (161), against a par score of 169.

Sharjah's attack is the most telling factor. Adil Rashid has 13 wickets at an economy of 6.93 in his last 10 T20 matches, and Mohammad Nabi has 15 wickets at 7.69 over the same span. MI Emirates' bowling, by contrast, is their weaker suit: Romario Shepherd has conceded at 12.61 an over in his last 10 matches and Wasim Akram at 9.84, leaving their batting to carry the load.

What total is safe?

First inningsDefended
Under 15019%16 of 85
150–16946%21 of 46
170–18977%30 of 39
190–20975%12 of 16
210+100%9 of 9

The case for MI Emirates

  • Batting edge of about 6 runs, led by Sherfane Rutherford (2.9 runs better than average) and Romario Shepherd (3.6).
  • Muhammad Waseem and Kusal Perera both rate positively at the top, giving MI Emirates a solid platform.

Batting standout

Sherfane Rutherford

Sherfane Rutherford

271 runs, SR 166, 17 sixes in the last 10. Rated +2.9 runs a game with the bat.

Rutherford scored 271 runs at a strike rate of 166.3 in his last 10 T20 matches and is rated 2.9 runs better than an average middle-order batter.

Bowling weaknesses

Romario Shepherd

Romario Shepherd

4 wkts, econ 12.61 in the last 10. Rated −1.3 runs a game with the ball.

Shepherd has conceded at 12.61 an over in his last 10 T20 matches and is rated 1.3 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs.

WA

Wasim Akram

6 wkts, econ 9.84 in the last 10. Rated −1.1 runs a game with the ball.

Akram has an economy of 9.84 in his last 10 T20 matches and is rated 1.1 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs.

The case for Warriorz

  • Bowling edge of about 9 runs, with Adil Rashid (4.1 runs better than average) and Mohammad Nabi (2.9) leading a strong attack.
  • Sikandar Raza and George Linde add all-round depth, each rated positively with both bat and ball.

Batting standout

James Vince

James Vince

395 runs, SR 152, 16 sixes in the last 10. Rated +2.8 runs a game with the bat.

Vince scored 395 runs at a strike rate of 151.9 in his last 10 T20 matches and is rated 2.8 runs better than an average opener.

Bowling standouts

Adil Rashid

Adil Rashid

13 wkts, econ 6.93 in the last 10. Rated +4.1 runs a game with the ball.

Rashid has 13 wickets at an economy of 6.93 in his last 10 T20 matches and is rated 4.1 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.

Mohammad Nabi

Mohammad Nabi

15 wkts, econ 7.69 in the last 10. Rated +2.9 runs a game with the ball.

Nabi took 15 wickets at 7.69 in his last 10 T20 matches and is rated 2.9 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.

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