Oddsworth

Gulf Giants v MI Emirates: Giants 54% to win

Giants 54%. MI Emirates 46%.

ILT20|5, match 22

Monday 7 December 2026, 6:30pm GMT+4Sheikh Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi

Prediction locks 7th December, 14:00 UTCWhen we've said 50–60%, the favourite won 850 of 1541

The sides

MeasureGiantsMI Emirates
XI caps2,425T20s between the XI1,908T20s between the XI
Top-seven average31.8T20 batting25.4T20 batting

When Giants bat

+0.60 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6+0.50MiddleOvers 7–15+0.64DeathOvers 16–20+0.63

When MI Emirates bat

+0.63 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6+0.86MiddleOvers 7–15+0.84DeathOvers 16–200.00

Giants bat first

First innings188
MI Emirates chase in18 overs
54%MI Emirates win
46%Giants win

MI Emirates bat first

First innings187
Giants chase in18 overs
62%Giants win
38%MI Emirates win

Gulf Giants favoured by 8% as MI Emirates' bowling edge is outweighed

Gulf Giants are favoured, with a 54% win chance against MI Emirates' 46%, despite MI Emirates being about 2 runs stronger on paper. That paper edge comes entirely from bowling: MI Emirates are 8.8 runs better with the ball, while Gulf Giants are 6.5 runs better with the bat. The batting power of Gulf Giants, led by Jos Buttler's 400 runs in his last 10 T20 matches, gives them the edge in the projected first-innings scores: 188 for Gulf Giants and 187 for MI Emirates, against a par score of 169.

Gulf Giants' top order faces a stern test against MI Emirates' spin, particularly Allah Ghazanfar, who has taken 10 wickets at an economy of 7.65 in his last 10 T20 matches. Ghazanfar's 3.9 bowling impact runs better than average could exploit any weakness, but Gulf Giants' batting depth, with four batters rated above average, may counter it.

What total is safe?

First inningsDefended
Under 15019%16 of 85
150–16946%21 of 46
170–18977%30 of 39
190–20975%12 of 16
210+100%9 of 9

The case for Giants

  • Batting strength: 18.6 runs better than average, led by Jos Buttler (4.3) and Heinrich Klaasen (4.1).
  • Projected first-innings score of 188, the higher of the two sides.

Batting standout

Jos Buttler

Jos Buttler

400 runs, SR 179, 25 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.3 runs a game with the bat.

Buttler has 400 runs at a strike rate of 178.6 in his last 10 T20 matches and is rated 4.3 runs better than an average batter.

Bowling weaknesses

Shamar Joseph

Shamar Joseph

6 wkts, econ 11.85 in the last 10. Rated −1.9 runs a game with the ball.

Joseph has taken 6 wickets at an economy of 11.85 in his last 10 T20 matches and is rated 1.9 runs worse than an average bowler.

MK

Matiullah Khan

11 wkts, econ 8.86 in the last 10. Rated −1.7 runs a game with the ball.

Khan has taken 11 wickets at an economy of 8.86 in his last 10 T20 matches and is rated 1.7 runs worse than an average bowler.

The case for MI Emirates

  • Bowling strength: 3.8 runs better than average, with Allah Ghazanfar (3.9) and Fazalhaq Farooqi (3.6) leading the attack.
  • Bowling edge of 8.8 runs over Gulf Giants.

Bowling standouts

Allah Ghazanfar

Allah Ghazanfar

10 wkts, econ 7.65 in the last 10. Rated +3.9 runs a game with the ball.

Ghazanfar has taken 10 wickets at an economy of 7.65 in his last 10 T20 matches and is rated 3.9 runs better than an average bowler.

Fazalhaq Farooqi

Fazalhaq Farooqi

12 wkts, econ 10.32 in the last 10. Rated +3.6 runs a game with the ball.

Farooqi has taken 12 wickets at an economy of 10.32 in his last 10 T20 matches but is rated 3.6 runs better than an average bowler.

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