Oddsworth

Sharjah Warriorz v Abu Dhabi Knight Riders: too close to call

Warriorz 51%. Knight Riders 49%.

ILT20|5, match 24

Wednesday 9 December 2026, 6:30pm GMT+4Sharjah Cricket Stadium, Sharjah

Prediction locks 9th December, 14:00 UTCWhen we've said 50–60%, the favourite won 850 of 1541

The sides

MeasureWarriorzKnight Riders
XI caps2,656T20s between the XI2,301T20s between the XI
Top-seven average23.5T20 batting24.8T20 batting

When Warriorz bat

−0.57 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6−0.94MiddleOvers 7–15−0.44DeathOvers 16–20−0.34

When Knight Riders bat

+0.22 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6+0.46MiddleOvers 7–15+0.22DeathOvers 16–20−0.05

Warriorz bat first

First innings157
Knight Riders chase in17.3 overs
57%Knight Riders win
43%Warriorz win

Knight Riders bat first

First innings163
Warriorz chase in17.5 overs
59%Warriorz win
41%Knight Riders win

Too close to call, with Abu Dhabi stronger on paper by about 16 runs

This is too close to call: Sharjah Warriorz sit at 51% and Abu Dhabi Knight Riders at 49%. Abu Dhabi are the stronger side on paper by about 16 runs, split between about 8 with the bat and about 8 with the ball. Their XI totals 34.5 runs above average against Sharjah's 18.4, yet the win chances barely separate them, so the paper edge is not enough to make them favourites.

Sharjah's top order has a clear problem against left-arm finger spin. Their top seven score 28 runs per dismissal against that bowling since 2023, a third below their 42 against all bowling, while Full Member top sevens drop by a tenth. Abu Dhabi have Usman Tariq, a left-arm wrist spinner, in our XI, and his 10 wickets at an economy of 6.05 in his last 10 T20 matches make him the obvious threat.

What total is safe?

First inningsDefended
Under 15021%15 of 73
150–16952%13 of 25
170–18974%25 of 34
190–20969%11 of 16
210+83%5 of 6

The case for Warriorz

  • Their bowling unit totals 12.4 runs above average, led by Adil Rashid at 4.1 and Mohammad Nabi at 2.9 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.
  • Sikandar Raza and George Linde give them two all-rounders rated positively with both bat and ball, adding depth in both innings.

Bowling standout

Adil Rashid

Adil Rashid

13 wkts, econ 6.93 in the last 10. Rated +4.1 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 4.1 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He took 13 wickets at an economy of 6.93 in his last 10 T20 matches, the best bowling rating in Sharjah's XI.

Batting weakness

TS

Tanish Suri

197 runs, SR 111, 3 sixes in the last 10. Rated −2.7 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 2.7 runs worse than an average batter. He has 197 runs at a strike rate of 111 in his last 10 T20 matches, and that form is 21 months old.

The case for Knight Riders

  • Their bowling totals 20.8 runs above average, the stronger unit on paper, with Sunil Narine at 8.4 and Usman Tariq at 7.7 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.
  • Their batting totals 13.7 runs above average, led by Finn Allen at 6.3 runs better than an average opener, and they are about 8 runs ahead with both bat and ball.

Batting standout

Finn Allen

Finn Allen

185 runs, SR 134, 12 sixes in the last 10. Rated +6.3 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 6.3 runs better than an average opener, the biggest batting impact in either XI. He has 185 runs at a strike rate of 134 in his last 10 T20 matches.

Bowling standouts

Sunil Narine

Sunil Narine

12 wkts, econ 4.87 in the last 10. Rated +8.4 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 8.4 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He took 12 wickets at an economy of 4.87 in his last 10 T20 matches, and his batting adds 0.4 runs.

Usman Tariq

Usman Tariq

10 wkts, econ 6.05 in the last 10. Rated +7.7 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 7.7 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He took 10 wickets at an economy of 6.05 in his last 10 T20 matches, and his left-arm wrist spin tests Sharjah's top order.

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