Too close to call: Sharjah Warriorz win 52% of the time and MI Emirates 48%, and the two XIs are separated by only about 3 runs on paper. Sharjah are the stronger side on paper, but the edge is entirely with the ball — their bowling is rated 8.7 runs better than MI Emirates', against a batting shortfall of 6.1. Sharjah project 174 batting first, MI Emirates 159, around a par score of 166.
MI Emirates' top order has to hold up against Sharjah's spin. Adil Rashid is rated 4.1 runs better than an average bowler and took 13 wickets at an economy of 6.93 in his last 10 T20 matches; Mohammad Nabi is rated 2.9 better and took 15 wickets at 7.69 across the same span. Rashid's 36 overs here have gone for 260, and Nabi's 100.3 for 677.