Oddsworth

Desert Vipers v Gulf Giants: too close to call

Vipers 48%. Giants 52%.

ILT20|5, match 29

Sunday 13 December 2026, 6:30pm GMT+4Dubai International Cricket Stadium, Dubai

Prediction locks 13th December, 14:00 UTCWhen we've said 50–60%, the favourite won 850 of 1541

The sides

MeasureVipersGiants
XI caps2,149T20s between the XI2,425T20s between the XI
Top-seven average29.3T20 batting31.8T20 batting

When Vipers bat

+0.48 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6+0.53MiddleOvers 7–15+0.58DeathOvers 16–20+0.25

When Giants bat

+0.20 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6+0.14MiddleOvers 7–15+0.10DeathOvers 16–20+0.48

Vipers bat first

First innings177
Giants chase in18 overs
60%Giants win
40%Vipers win

Giants bat first

First innings171
Vipers chase in17.4 overs
56%Vipers win
44%Giants win

Too close to call as Vipers' bowling meets Giants' batting

This is too close to call, with Gulf Giants at 52% and Desert Vipers at 48%. Desert Vipers are stronger on paper by about 7 runs, but that edge comes entirely from bowling: their attack is rated 18.8 runs better than average, while their batting is 6.5 runs better. Gulf Giants have the better batting, rated 18.6 runs better than average, but their bowling is 5 runs worse. The projected first-innings totals reflect that split: 177 for Vipers batting first, 171 for Giants, against a par score of 163.

Gulf Giants' top order averages 28 against left-arm finger spin since 2023, a third below their 42 against all bowling, where Full Member top sevens drop by a tenth. Desert Vipers have Mujeeb Ur Rahman, a left-arm finger spinner, in our XI, and his 13 wickets at an economy of 8.27 in his last 10 T20 matches make him the bowler Gulf Giants' top order will have to manage.

What total is safe?

First inningsDefended
Under 15028%42 of 151
150–16948%44 of 92
170–18962%38 of 61
190–20990%18 of 20
210+100%5 of 5

The case for Vipers

  • Bowling is rated 18.8 runs better than average, the stronger unit in the match, led by Mujeeb Ur Rahman (4.8 runs better than average) and Shadab Khan (2.9).
  • Batting is rated 6.5 runs better than average, with Fakhar Zaman, Babar Azam and Andries Gous all positive, and the projected first-innings score of 177 is the higher of the two.

Bowling standouts

Mujeeb Ur Rahman

Mujeeb Ur Rahman

13 wkts, econ 8.27 in the last 10. Rated +4.8 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 4.8 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He has 13 wickets at an economy of 8.27 in his last 10 T20 matches, and his left-arm finger spin is the main threat to Gulf Giants' top order.

Shadab Khan

Shadab Khan

13 wkts, econ 5.56 in the last 10. Rated +2.9 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 2.9 runs better than an average bowler and 1.4 runs better than an average batter. He has 13 wickets at an economy of 5.56 and 132 runs at a strike rate of 220 in his last 10 T20 matches.

The case for Giants

  • Batting is rated 18.6 runs better than average, the stronger unit in the match, with Jos Buttler (4.3), Heinrich Klaasen (4.1) and Liam Livingstone (3.0) all well above average.
  • Jos Buttler has 400 runs at a strike rate of 178.6 in his last 10 T20 matches, and Rahmanullah Gurbaz has 361 runs at 188, giving Gulf Giants a powerful top order.

Batting standouts

Jos Buttler

Jos Buttler

400 runs, SR 179, 25 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.3 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 4.3 runs better than an average batter, the highest in either XI. He has 400 runs at a strike rate of 178.6 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 25 sixes.

Heinrich Klaasen

Heinrich Klaasen

295 runs, SR 165, 15 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.1 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 4.1 runs better than an average batter. He has 295 runs at a strike rate of 164.8 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 15 sixes, giving Gulf Giants' middle order a strong finisher.

Bowling weaknesses

Shamar Joseph

Shamar Joseph

6 wkts, econ 11.85 in the last 10. Rated −1.9 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 1.9 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs. He has 6 wickets at an economy of 11.85 in his last 10 T20 matches, a weak point in Gulf Giants' attack.

MK

Matiullah Khan

11 wkts, econ 8.86 in the last 10. Rated −1.7 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 1.7 runs worse than an average bowler. He has 11 wickets at an economy of 8.86 in his last 10 T20 matches, and his form is 10 months old.

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