Bryce Parsons
236 runs, SR 124, 10 sixes in the last 10. Rated −1.7 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 1.6 runs worse than an average batter. He has 236 runs at a strike rate of 124.2 in his last 10 T20 matches.
The sides
| Measure | Dolphins | Lions |
|---|---|---|
| XI caps | 419T20s between the XI | 1,177T20s between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 20.7T20 batting | 25.5T20 batting |
When Dolphins bat
−0.07 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6−0.45MiddleOvers 7–15+0.19DeathOvers 16–20−0.08
When Lions bat
−0.03 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6−0.33MiddleOvers 7–15+0.12DeathOvers 16–20+0.08
Dolphins bat first
First innings155
Lions chase in17.5 overs
65%Lions win
35%Dolphins win
Lions bat first
First innings168
Dolphins short by34 runs
65%Lions win
35%Dolphins win
Lions favoured by about 5 runs; bowling gives them the edge
Lions are favoured, with a win chance of 65% and a paper strength about 5 runs clear of Dolphins. The gap is built on bowling: Lions are 2.9 runs better there, and 1.8 runs better with the bat. Dolphins sit 16.9 runs below an average T20 side, and their batting is the weakest unit at 10.6 runs below average.
Lions project 168 batting first, Dolphins 155, against a par score of 166. At this ground, teams batting first have won 13 of the last 18, and 170–189 has been defended 76% of the time. The sharpest angle is Dolphins' batting: Bryce Parsons and Andile Simelane have recent windows of 236 runs at a strike rate of 124 and 64 runs at 88 respectively.
What total is safe?
First inningsDefended
Under 15032%10 of 31
150–16954%15 of 28
170–18976%13 of 17
190–20990%9 of 10
210+100%5 of 5
The case for Dolphins
- Prenelan Subrayen is rated 0.9 runs better than an average bowler and has 12 wickets at an economy of 8.08 in his last 10 T20 matches.
- Marques Ackerman is rated 0.7 runs better than an average batter and has 234 runs at a strike rate of 141.8 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Batting weakness
Bowling weakness
Andile Simelane
6 wkts, econ 10.61 in the last 10. Rated −2.9 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 2.8 runs worse than an average bowler. He has 6 wickets at an economy of 10.61 in his last 10 T20 matches.
The case for Lions
- Rated 2.9 runs better than Dolphins with the ball, led by Bjorn Fortuin (2 runs better than average) and Gerald Coetzee (0.3 runs better).
- Rated 1.8 runs better than Dolphins with the bat, with Quinton de Kock 2.8 runs better than average and Reeza Hendricks 1.2 runs better.
- Projected to score 168 batting first, 13 runs more than Dolphins' 155.
Batting standouts
Quinton de Kock
319 runs, SR 163, 22 sixes in the last 10. Rated +2.7 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 2.8 runs better than an average batter. He has 319 runs at a strike rate of 162.8 in his last 10 T20 matches, including 22 sixes.
Reeza Hendricks
302 runs, SR 136, 12 sixes in the last 10. Rated +1.1 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 1.2 runs better than an average opener. He has 302 runs at a strike rate of 136 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Bowling standout
Bjorn Fortuin
16 wkts, econ 6.58 in the last 10. Rated +1.9 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 2 runs better than an average bowler. He has 16 wickets at an economy of 6.58 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Bowling weakness
Nqaba Peter
5 wkts, econ 8.97 in the last 10. Rated −3.4 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 3.3 runs worse than an average bowler on limited data. He has 5 wickets at an economy of 8.97 in his last 10 T20 matches.