Oddsworth

Lions v North West: North West won by 6 wickets

Lions 205-5; our pre-match call 76%. North West 207-4; our pre-match call 24%.

Pro20 Cup 2026/27, match 17

North West won by 6 wickets

Friday 2 October 2026, 6:00pm SASTThe Wanderers Stadium, Johannesburg

Prediction locked in 2nd October, 11:36 UTCWhen we've said 70–80%, the favourite won 202 of 253

The sides

MeasureLionsNorth West
XI caps1,177T20s between the XI363T20s between the XI
Top-seven average25.5T20 batting24.0T20 batting

When Lions bat

+0.14 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6+0.09MiddleOvers 7–15+0.12DeathOvers 16–20+0.24

When North West bat

+0.02 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6−0.08MiddleOvers 7–15+0.20DeathOvers 16–20−0.18

Lions bat first

First innings173
North West short by37 runs
76%Lions win
24%North West win

North West bat first

First innings161
Lions chase in18 overs
76%Lions win
24%North West win

Lions favoured at home, bowling gives them the edge

Lions are favoured, with a win chance of 76% and a paper strength about 8 runs clear of North West. Almost all of that gap comes from bowling: Lions are 7.1 runs better with the ball, and only 1 run better with the bat. Both sides rate below average overall, but North West's bowling is the weaker unit, at 10.9 runs worse than average.

The runs picture points to a par score of 170, with Lions projected 173 batting first and North West 161. Recent games here have averaged 173, and the ground scores 4% above its leagues' recent average of 160. Batting first and chasing have won 11 each of the last 22 here, so the toss has not separated the sides.

What total is safe?

First inningsDefended
Under 15017%5 of 30
150–16952%12 of 23
170–18953%8 of 15
190–20980%12 of 15
210+92%11 of 12

The case for Lions

  • Bowling edge of 7.1 runs over North West, with Fortuin rated 1.9 runs better than average and Coetzee 0.2 runs better.
  • Batting edge of 1 run, led by de Kock at 2.7 runs better than average and Hendricks at 1.1 runs better.

Batting standouts

Quinton de Kock

Quinton de Kock

319 runs, SR 163, 22 sixes in the last 10. Rated +2.7 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 2.7 runs better than an average batter. He has 319 runs at a strike rate of 162.8 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 22 sixes, and 747 runs in 22 innings at this ground.

Reeza Hendricks

Reeza Hendricks

302 runs, SR 136, 12 sixes in the last 10. Rated +1.1 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 1.1 runs better than an average opener. He has 302 runs at a strike rate of 136 in his last 10 T20 matches, and 1,138 runs in 39 innings at this ground.

Bowling standout

Bjorn Fortuin

Bjorn Fortuin

16 wkts, econ 6.58 in the last 10. Rated +1.9 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 1.9 runs better than an average bowler. He has 16 wickets at an economy of 6.58 in his last 10 T20 matches, and 138 career wickets at 6.91.

Bowling weakness

Nqaba Peter

Nqaba Peter

5 wkts, econ 8.97 in the last 10. Rated −3.4 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 3.4 runs worse than an average bowler on limited data. He has 5 wickets at an economy of 8.97 in his last 10 T20 matches.

The case for North West

  • Forrester is rated 1 run better than an average batter, with 185 runs at a strike rate of 137 in his last 10 T20 matches.
  • Lubbe is rated 0.2 runs better than an average opener, though his recent 140 runs came at a strike rate of 112.

Batting standout

Dian Forrester

Dian Forrester

185 runs, SR 137, 10 sixes in the last 10. Rated +1.0 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 1 run better than an average batter. He has 185 runs at a strike rate of 137 in his last 10 T20 matches, and 139 runs in three innings at this ground.

Bowling weakness

Daryn Dupavillon

Daryn Dupavillon

11 wkts, econ 10.12 in the last 10. Rated −2.6 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 2.6 runs worse than an average bowler. He has 11 wickets at an economy of 10.12 in his last 10 T20 matches, and 121 runs conceded in 12 overs at this ground.

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