Mujeeb Ur Rahman
11 wkts, econ 8.89 in the last 10. Rated +4.6 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 4.6 runs better than an average bowler, the best in either XI. He took 11 wickets at an economy of 8.89 in his last 10 T20 matches.
The sides
| Measure | Royals | Super Kings |
|---|---|---|
| XI caps | 1,940T20s between the XI | 1,984T20s between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 27.8T20 batting | 29.1T20 batting |
When Royals bat
+0.13 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6−0.04MiddleOvers 7–15+0.27DeathOvers 16–20+0.11
When Super Kings bat
−0.08 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6+0.04MiddleOvers 7–15−0.29DeathOvers 16–20+0.17
Royals bat first
First innings169
Super Kings short by32 runs
52%Royals win
48%Super Kings win
Super Kings bat first
First innings160
Royals chase in17.2 overs
51%Royals win
49%Super Kings win
Too close to call as Paarl's bowling meets Joburg's batting
This is too close to call, with Paarl Royals at 52% and Joburg Super Kings at 48%. Paarl are the stronger side on paper, about 3 runs clear, and the split is clean: Joburg hold the batting edge by 2.8 runs, Paarl the bowling edge by 6.2. Paarl's XI totals 18.7 runs against average, Joburg's 15.3.
Joburg's top order is the side's strength, and Paarl's attack is where the game tilts. Faf du Plessis has 449 runs at a strike rate of 139 in his last 10 T20 matches, rated 4.6 runs better than an average opener, and James Vince adds 395 runs at 151.9 in his last 10. Against that, Mujeeb Ur Rahman is rated 4.6 runs better than an average bowler and Ottniel Baartman 4.2, with Bjorn Fortuin at 2.1. Joburg's bowling is the softer unit at 4.9 runs against average, and Wiaan Mulder is rated 2.1 runs worse than an average bowler.
What total is safe?
First inningsDefended
Under 15033%7 of 21
150–16950%6 of 12
170–18958%7 of 12
190–20980%4 of 5
210+100%1 of 1
The case for Royals
- The bowling edge is 6.2 runs, built on Mujeeb Ur Rahman at 4.6 runs better than average, Ottniel Baartman at 4.2 and Bjorn Fortuin at 2.1.
- The XI totals 18.7 runs against average, about 3 runs clear of Joburg, and the projected first-innings score batting first is 169 against a par of 165.
- Sikandar Raza is rated 2.5 runs better than an average bowler and 2.1 better with the bat, giving a fifth option alongside the specialist attack.
Bowling standouts
Ottniel Baartman
22 wkts, econ 7.19 in the last 10. Rated +4.2 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 4.2 runs better than an average bowler. He took 22 wickets at an economy of 7.19 in his last 10 T20 matches, the best recent haul in either attack.
The case for Super Kings
- The batting edge is 2.8 runs, with Faf du Plessis rated 4.6 runs better than an average opener and James Vince 2.6.
- Du Plessis has 449 runs at a strike rate of 139 and Vince 395 at 151.9 in their last 10 T20 matches, the two strongest recent batting returns in either XI.
- Donavon Ferreira is rated 3.4 runs better than an average batter and 0.7 better with the ball, and Dian Forrester adds 1.0 with the bat.
Batting standout
Faf du Plessis
449 runs, SR 139, 11 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.6 runs a game with the bat.
449 runs at a strike rate of 139 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 4.6 runs better than an average opener. Joburg's batting edge of 2.8 runs rests on him and Vince.
Batting weakness
M De Villiers
133 runs, SR 109, 2 sixes in the last 10. Rated −1.8 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 1.8 runs worse than an average batter. His last 10 T20 matches brought 133 runs at a strike rate of 109, well below the rest of Joburg's top order.
Bowling weakness
Wiaan Mulder
7 wkts, econ 10.36 in the last 10. Rated −2.1 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 2.1 runs worse than an average bowler, and his last 10 T20 matches brought 7 wickets at an economy of 10.36. Joburg's bowling is the weaker unit at 4.9 runs against average.