Ryan Rickelton
351 runs, SR 172, 23 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.5 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 4.5 runs better than an average opener. He made 351 runs at a strike rate of 172.1 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 23 sixes.
The sides
| Measure | MI Cape Town | Super Kings |
|---|---|---|
| XI caps | 2,857T20s between the XI | 1,984T20s between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 29.0T20 batting | 29.1T20 batting |
When MI Cape Town bat
+0.41 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6+0.25MiddleOvers 7–15+0.49DeathOvers 16–20+0.48
When Super Kings bat
−0.36 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6−0.18MiddleOvers 7–15−0.60DeathOvers 16–20−0.13
MI Cape Town bat first
First innings182
Super Kings short by39 runs
61%MI Cape Town win
39%Super Kings win
Super Kings bat first
First innings164
MI Cape Town chase in17.2 overs
61%MI Cape Town win
39%Super Kings win
MI Cape Town favoured by about 16 runs on stronger bowling
MI Cape Town are favoured, with a 61% win chance against Joburg Super Kings' 39%. The gap on paper is about 16 runs, and it is built on bowling: MI Cape Town's attack rates 11.7 runs better than Joburg's, while the batting edge is only 3.9 runs. Their projected first-innings totals reflect that, 182 against 164, either side of a par score of 169.
Joburg's bowling is the softest unit in the match, rated 4.9 runs better than average across the XI, and Wiaan Mulder's recent economy of 10.36 over his last 10 T20 matches points to where the pressure will fall. Against an MI Cape Town top order carrying Ryan Rickelton at 4.5 runs better than an average opener and Nicolas Pooran at 4.1, that is the telling difference.
What total is safe?
First inningsDefended
Under 15018%6 of 33
150–16955%11 of 20
170–18956%10 of 18
190–20975%6 of 8
210+100%2 of 2
The case for MI Cape Town
- Bowling strength of 16.6 runs better than average across the XI, the largest single unit in the match.
- Rashid Khan, Corbin Bosch, Kagiso Rabada and Trent Boult all rate positively with the ball, giving four front-line options above average.
- A projected 182 batting first, 13 runs above the par score of 169.
Batting standouts
Nicolas Pooran
319 runs, SR 174, 26 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.1 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 4.1 runs better than an average middle-order batter. He scored 319 runs at a strike rate of 174.3 in his last 10 T20 matches, including 26 sixes.
Bowling standout
Rashid Khan
13 wkts, econ 8.24 in the last 10. Rated +6.9 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 6.9 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He took 13 wickets at an economy of 8.24 in his last 10 T20 matches.
The case for Super Kings
- Faf du Plessis rates 4.6 runs better than an average opener and made 449 runs in his last 10 T20 matches.
- James Vince adds 2.6 runs better than an average top-order batter, with 395 runs at a strike rate of 151.9 in his last 10 T20 matches.
- Akeal Hosein and Prenelan Subrayen both rate positively with the ball, at 2.2 and 1.6 runs better than average.
Batting standout
Faf du Plessis
449 runs, SR 139, 11 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.6 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 4.6 runs better than an average opener. He made 449 runs at a strike rate of 139.4 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 11 sixes.
Batting weakness
M De Villiers
133 runs, SR 109, 2 sixes in the last 10. Rated −1.8 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 1.8 runs worse than an average middle-order batter. He made 133 runs at a strike rate of 109 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Bowling weakness
Wiaan Mulder
7 wkts, econ 10.36 in the last 10. Rated −2.1 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 2.1 runs worse than an average bowler over his expected three overs. He took 7 wickets at an economy of 10.36 in his last 10 T20 matches.