Faf du Plessis
449 runs, SR 139, 11 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.8 runs a game with the bat.
449 runs in his last 10 T20 matches at a strike rate of 139, and he is rated 4.8 runs better than an average opener.
The sides
| Measure | Capitals | Vipers |
|---|---|---|
| XI caps | 2,772T20s between the XI | 2,149T20s between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 26.6T20 batting | 29.3T20 batting |
When Capitals bat
+0.17 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6+0.31MiddleOvers 7–15+0.04DeathOvers 16–20+0.25
When Vipers bat
−0.25 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6−0.27MiddleOvers 7–15−0.31DeathOvers 16–20−0.13
Capitals bat first
First innings166
Vipers chase in18 overs
57%Vipers win
43%Capitals win
Vipers bat first
First innings167
Capitals chase in18 overs
59%Capitals win
41%Vipers win
Too close to call, with Dubai Capitals marginally stronger on paper
This is too close to call: Dubai Capitals have a 51% win chance and Desert Vipers 49%. The Capitals are the stronger side on paper, worth about 8 runs more than the Vipers, and the edge is entirely with the bat. Their XI totals 15.5 batting runs above average against the Vipers' 6.5, while the Vipers are the better bowling unit by 1.4 runs. The projected first-innings totals are almost identical, 166 for the Capitals and 167 for the Vipers, against a par score of 163.
The Capitals' top order is the difference. Faf du Plessis has 449 runs in his last 10 T20 matches at a strike rate of 139, and Phil Salt, Rovman Powell and Marcus Stoinis all rate above average with the bat. The Vipers' batting is thinner: Vriitya Aravind has 195 runs in his last 10 T20 matches at a strike rate of 102 and rates 1.4 runs worse than an average batter, and the side's batting total is 6.5 runs above average.
What total is safe?
First inningsDefended
Under 15028%42 of 151
150–16948%44 of 92
170–18962%38 of 61
190–20990%18 of 20
210+100%5 of 5
The case for Capitals
- Their batting totals 15.5 runs above average, the stronger batting unit in the match.
- Faf du Plessis has 449 runs in his last 10 T20 matches at a strike rate of 139.
- Mustafizur Rahman is rated 4.7 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.
Batting standouts
Phil Salt
233 runs, SR 117, 9 sixes in the last 10. Rated +3.6 runs a game with the bat.
233 runs in his last 10 T20 matches, though at a strike rate of 116.5, and he is rated 3.6 runs better than an average opener.
The case for Vipers
- Their bowling totals 13.8 runs above average, the stronger bowling unit in the match.
- Mujeeb Ur Rahman has 13 wickets in his last 10 T20 matches at an economy of 8.27.
- Shadab Khan has 13 wickets and 132 runs in his last 10 T20 matches.
Bowling standouts
Mujeeb Ur Rahman
13 wkts, econ 8.27 in the last 10. Rated +4.8 runs a game with the ball.
13 wickets in his last 10 T20 matches at an economy of 8.27, and he is rated 4.8 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.
Shadab Khan
13 wkts, econ 5.56 in the last 10. Rated +2.9 runs a game with the ball.
13 wickets and 132 runs in his last 10 T20 matches, and he is rated 2.9 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.
Batting weakness
Vriitya Aravind
195 runs, SR 102, 3 sixes in the last 10. Rated −1.4 runs a game with the bat.
195 runs in his last 10 T20 matches at a strike rate of 102, and he is rated 1.4 runs worse than an average batter.