Mujeeb Ur Rahman
13 wkts, econ 8.27 in the last 10. Rated +4.8 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 4.8 runs better than an average bowler over four overs, with 13 wickets at an economy of 8.27 in his last 10 T20 matches.
The sides
| Measure | Vipers | MI Emirates |
|---|---|---|
| XI caps | 2,149T20s between the XI | 1,908T20s between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 29.3T20 batting | 25.4T20 batting |
When Vipers bat
+0.20 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6−0.02MiddleOvers 7–15+0.34DeathOvers 16–20+0.22
When MI Emirates bat
−0.04 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6−0.07MiddleOvers 7–15+0.05DeathOvers 16–20−0.18
Vipers bat first
First innings183
MI Emirates chase in18.3 overs
55%MI Emirates win
45%Vipers win
MI Emirates bat first
First innings172
Vipers chase in17.5 overs
60%Vipers win
40%MI Emirates win
Too close to call, with Desert Vipers marginally stronger on paper
This is too close to call, with Desert Vipers at 53% and MI Emirates at 47%. The Vipers are the stronger side on paper, by about 5 runs, and the split is clear: MI Emirates have the better batting, by about 6 runs, but Desert Vipers' bowling is about 10 runs better, and that is enough to make them marginal favourites.
MI Emirates' top order averages 28 against left-arm finger spin since 2023, a third below their 42 against all bowling, where Full Member top sevens drop by a tenth. Desert Vipers have Mujeeb Ur Rahman, a left-arm finger spinner, in our XI, and his 13 wickets at an economy of 8.27 in his last 10 T20 matches make him the bowler MI Emirates' batters will have to manage.
What total is safe?
First inningsDefended
Under 15019%16 of 85
150–16946%21 of 46
170–18977%30 of 39
190–20975%12 of 16
210+100%9 of 9
The case for Vipers
- Bowling strength of 13.8 runs above average, led by Mujeeb Ur Rahman (4.8 runs better than average) and Shadab Khan (2.9).
- Batting contributions from Fakhar Zaman (1.3 runs better than average), Andries Gous (2.7) and Dan Lawrence (1.9).
Bowling standouts
Shadab Khan
13 wkts, econ 5.56 in the last 10. Rated +2.9 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 2.9 runs better than an average bowler and 1.4 runs better than an average batter, with 13 wickets at an economy of 5.56 in his last 10 T20 matches.
The case for MI Emirates
- Batting strength of 12.1 runs above average, with Sherfane Rutherford (2.9 runs better than average), Muhammad Waseem (2.7) and Romario Shepherd (3.6).
- Bowling led by Allah Ghazanfar (3.9 runs better than average) and Fazalhaq Farooqi (3.6).
Batting standout
Sherfane Rutherford
271 runs, SR 166, 17 sixes in the last 10. Rated +2.9 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 2.9 runs better than an average batter, with 271 runs at a strike rate of 166.3 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Bowling weaknesses
Romario Shepherd
4 wkts, econ 12.61 in the last 10. Rated −1.3 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 1.3 runs worse than an average bowler over three overs, with 4 wickets at an economy of 12.61 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Lizaad Williams
16 wkts, econ 9.42 in the last 10. Rated −1.0 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 1 run worse than an average bowler over four overs, with 16 wickets at an economy of 9.42 in his last 10 T20 matches.