Oddsworth

Dubai Capitals v Gulf Giants: too close to call

Capitals 49%. Giants 51%.

ILT20|5, match 10

Saturday 28 November 2026, 6:30pm GMT+4Dubai International Cricket Stadium, Dubai

Prediction locks 28th November, 14:00 UTCWhen we've said 50–60%, the favourite won 850 of 1541

The sides

MeasureCapitalsGiants
XI caps2,772T20s between the XI2,425T20s between the XI
Top-seven average26.6T20 batting31.8T20 batting

When Capitals bat

+0.85 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6+1.23MiddleOvers 7–15+0.82DeathOvers 16–20+0.43

When Giants bat

+0.14 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6+0.26MiddleOvers 7–15−0.01DeathOvers 16–20+0.28

Capitals bat first

First innings180
Giants chase in18 overs
59%Giants win
41%Capitals win

Giants bat first

First innings172
Capitals chase in17.3 overs
57%Capitals win
43%Giants win

Too close to call, with Dubai Capitals stronger on paper through bowling

Too close to call: Dubai Capitals hold 49% and Gulf Giants 51%, a gap of nothing worth naming a favourite over. The Capitals are the stronger side on paper by about 14 runs, and it is all in the bowling. Their attack rates 12.4 runs better than average against the Giants' -5, a 17.4-run edge, while the Giants' batting is 3.1 runs the better of the two. The Capitals' projected 180 batting first is the higher of the two, against 172 for the Giants, with the par score 163.

Gulf Giants' top order averages 28 against left-arm finger spin since 2023, a third below their 42 against all bowling, where Full Member top sevens drop by a tenth. The Capitals have no left-arm finger spinner in our XI, but Aayan Afzal Khan, outside it, is one, and his 27 innings here for 471 runs make him the obvious change.

What total is safe?

First inningsDefended
Under 15028%42 of 151
150–16948%44 of 92
170–18962%38 of 61
190–20990%18 of 20
210+100%5 of 5

The case for Capitals

  • The bowling rates 12.4 runs better than average, the strongest unit in either XI, with Mustafizur Rahman 4.7 runs better than an average bowler and Haider Ali 4.3.
  • The projected 180 batting first is the higher of the two, built on Faf du Plessis at 4.8 runs better than an average opener and Phil Salt at 3.6.
  • Noor Ahmad rates 3.5 runs better than an average bowler, and Marcus Stoinis adds 0.9 with the ball alongside 3.1 with the bat.

Batting standout

Faf du Plessis

Faf du Plessis

449 runs, SR 139, 11 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.8 runs a game with the bat.

449 runs at a strike rate of 139 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 4.8 runs better than an average opener. He has 480 runs in 15 innings at this ground.

Bowling standout

Mustafizur Rahman

Mustafizur Rahman

13 wkts, econ 8.36 in the last 10. Rated +4.7 runs a game with the ball.

13 wickets at an economy of 8.36 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 4.7 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He has 18 innings here for 463 runs.

The case for Giants

  • The batting rates 18.6 runs better than average, the stronger of the two, with Jos Buttler 4.3 runs better than an average opener and Heinrich Klaasen 4.1.
  • Rahmanullah Gurbaz has 361 runs at a strike rate of 188 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 29 sixes, and rates 2.3 runs better than an average opener.
  • Azmatullah Omarzai is a genuine both-ways all-rounder, 1.5 runs better than average with the bat and 1.1 with the ball.

Batting standouts

Jos Buttler

Jos Buttler

400 runs, SR 179, 25 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.3 runs a game with the bat.

400 runs at a strike rate of 178.6 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 25 sixes, and rated 4.3 runs better than an average opener. He has 265 runs in 11 innings at this ground.

Heinrich Klaasen

Heinrich Klaasen

295 runs, SR 165, 15 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.1 runs a game with the bat.

295 runs at a strike rate of 164.8 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 15 sixes, and rated 4.1 runs better than an average batter in his slot.

Bowling weaknesses

Shamar Joseph

Shamar Joseph

6 wkts, econ 11.85 in the last 10. Rated −1.9 runs a game with the ball.

6 wickets at an economy of 11.85 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 1.9 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs. He has two innings here for 75 runs.

MK

Matiullah Khan

11 wkts, econ 8.86 in the last 10. Rated −1.7 runs a game with the ball.

11 wickets at an economy of 8.86 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 1.7 runs worse than an average bowler. His rating is cautious on limited batting data.

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