Faf du Plessis
449 runs, SR 139, 11 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.8 runs a game with the bat.
449 runs at a strike rate of 139 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 4.8 runs better than an average opener.
The sides
| Measure | Capitals | MI Emirates |
|---|---|---|
| XI caps | 2,772T20s between the XI | 1,908T20s between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 26.6T20 batting | 25.4T20 batting |
When Capitals bat
+0.57 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6+0.67MiddleOvers 7–15+0.58DeathOvers 16–20+0.40
When MI Emirates bat
−0.10 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6+0.05MiddleOvers 7–15−0.05DeathOvers 16–20−0.37
Capitals bat first
First innings176
MI Emirates chase in18.1 overs
53%MI Emirates win
47%Capitals win
MI Emirates bat first
First innings165
Capitals chase in17.3 overs
62%Capitals win
38%MI Emirates win
Dubai Capitals favoured by about 12 runs, built on bowling
Dubai Capitals are favoured, with a win chance of 55% against MI Emirates' 45%. The edge is about 12 runs on paper, and it comes mostly from the bowling: Capitals' attack is rated 8.6 runs better than MI Emirates', while the batting gap is only 3.4 runs. Capitals project 176 batting first, MI Emirates 165, against a par score of 163.
MI Emirates' top seven average 28 against left-arm finger spin since 2023, a third below their 42 against all bowling, where Full Member top sevens drop by a tenth. Capitals have no left-arm finger spinner in our XI, but Mustafizur Rahman, a left-arm pace bowler, is not that type; the point stands as a warning if MI Emirates face such bowling elsewhere.
What total is safe?
First inningsDefended
Under 15028%42 of 151
150–16948%44 of 92
170–18962%38 of 61
190–20990%18 of 20
210+100%5 of 5
The case for Capitals
- Bowling strength: rated 8.6 runs better than MI Emirates' attack, with Mustafizur Rahman and Noor Ahmad both above average.
- Batting depth: Faf du Plessis and Phil Salt give a solid top order, and the side is rated 3.4 runs better with the bat.
Batting standout
Bowling standouts
Mustafizur Rahman
13 wkts, econ 8.36 in the last 10. Rated +4.7 runs a game with the ball.
13 wickets at an economy of 8.36 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 4.7 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.
Noor Ahmad
6 wkts, econ 10.03 in the last 10. Rated +3.5 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 3.5 runs better than an average bowler, with 6 wickets at an economy of 10.03 in his last 10 T20 matches.
The case for MI Emirates
- Sherfane Rutherford is in strong form: 271 runs at a strike rate of 166 in his last 10 T20 matches.
- Allah Ghazanfar offers a quality spin option, rated 3.9 runs better than an average bowler.
Bowling weaknesses
Romario Shepherd
4 wkts, econ 12.61 in the last 10. Rated −1.3 runs a game with the ball.
4 wickets at an economy of 12.61 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 1.3 runs worse than an average bowler.
Wasim Akram
6 wkts, econ 9.84 in the last 10. Rated −1.1 runs a game with the ball.
6 wickets at an economy of 9.84 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 1.1 runs worse than an average bowler.
Lizaad Williams
16 wkts, econ 9.42 in the last 10. Rated −1.0 runs a game with the ball.
16 wickets at an economy of 9.42 in his last 10 T20 matches, but rated 1 run worse than an average bowler.