Oddsworth

Dubai Capitals v Sharjah Warriorz: too close to call

Capitals 53%. Warriorz 47%.

ILT20|5, match 23

Tuesday 8 December 2026, 6:30pm GMT+4Dubai International Cricket Stadium, Dubai

Prediction locks 8th December, 14:00 UTCWhen we've said 50–60%, the favourite won 850 of 1541

The sides

MeasureCapitalsWarriorz
XI caps2,772T20s between the XI2,656T20s between the XI
Top-seven average26.6T20 batting23.5T20 batting

When Capitals bat

+0.29 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6+0.78MiddleOvers 7–15+0.04DeathOvers 16–20+0.16

When Warriorz bat

−0.37 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6−0.80MiddleOvers 7–15−0.21DeathOvers 16–20−0.13

Capitals bat first

First innings159
Warriorz chase in17.5 overs
55%Warriorz win
45%Capitals win

Warriorz bat first

First innings160
Capitals chase in18 overs
61%Capitals win
39%Warriorz win

Too close to call, with Dubai Capitals marginally stronger on paper

This is too close to call, with Dubai Capitals at 53% and Sharjah Warriorz at 47%. Dubai Capitals are the stronger side on paper, about 9 runs clear, and the edge is entirely with the bat: their top order is rated about 10 runs better than Sharjah's, while Sharjah's bowling is rated fractionally ahead. The projected first-innings totals sit either side of a par score of 163, so neither side starts with a meaningful advantage in the runs picture.

Sharjah's top seven average 28 against left-arm finger spin since 2023, a third below their 42 against all bowling, where Full Member top sevens drop by a tenth. Dubai Capitals have Aayan Afzal Khan, a left-arm finger spinner, in our XI, and his 27 wickets at this ground have come at 17.4 runs apiece.

What total is safe?

First inningsDefended
Under 15028%42 of 151
150–16948%44 of 92
170–18962%38 of 61
190–20990%18 of 20
210+100%5 of 5

The case for Capitals

  • Their batting is rated 15.5 runs better than average, the stronger unit in the match, led by Faf du Plessis (4.8 runs better than an average opener) and Phil Salt (3.6).
  • Mustafizur Rahman and Noor Ahmad are rated 4.7 and 3.5 runs better than an average bowler respectively, giving them two frontline bowlers above average.
  • Marcus Stoinis and Hassan Khan are both rated positively with the ball, at 0.9 and 0.1 runs better than average.

Batting standout

Faf du Plessis

Faf du Plessis

449 runs, SR 139, 11 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.8 runs a game with the bat.

449 runs at a strike rate of 139 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 4.8 runs better than an average opener. He has 480 runs in 15 innings at this ground.

Bowling standouts

Mustafizur Rahman

Mustafizur Rahman

13 wkts, econ 8.36 in the last 10. Rated +4.7 runs a game with the ball.

13 wickets at an economy of 8.36 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 4.7 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He has 18 innings at this ground.

Noor Ahmad

Noor Ahmad

6 wkts, econ 10.03 in the last 10. Rated +3.5 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 3.5 runs better than an average bowler over three overs. He has 10 innings and 286 runs conceded at this ground, and took 6 wickets at an economy of 10.03 in his last 10 T20 matches.

The case for Warriorz

  • Adil Rashid is rated 4.1 runs better than an average bowler over four overs, and Mohammad Nabi 2.9, part of a bowling unit rated fractionally ahead of Dubai Capitals'.
  • James Vince is rated 2.8 runs better than an average opener and made 395 runs at a strike rate of 151.9 in his last 10 T20 matches.
  • Sikandar Raza is rated positively with both bat (2.2) and ball (2.2), and George Linde is rated 1.3 with the ball.

Batting standout

James Vince

James Vince

395 runs, SR 152, 16 sixes in the last 10. Rated +2.8 runs a game with the bat.

395 runs at a strike rate of 151.9 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 2.8 runs better than an average opener. He has 946 runs in 33 innings at this ground.

Bowling standout

Adil Rashid

Adil Rashid

13 wkts, econ 6.93 in the last 10. Rated +4.1 runs a game with the ball.

13 wickets at an economy of 6.93 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 4.1 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. He has 9 innings at this ground.

Batting weakness

TS

Tanish Suri

197 runs, SR 111, 3 sixes in the last 10. Rated −2.7 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 2.7 runs worse than an average opener. He made 197 runs at a strike rate of 110.7 in his last 10 T20 matches, the most recent of them 21 months ago.

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