Oddsworth

Dubai Capitals v Gulf Giants: too close to call

Capitals 49%. Giants 51%.

ILT20|5, match 25

Thursday 10 December 2026, 6:30pm GMT+4Dubai International Cricket Stadium, Dubai

Prediction locks 10th December, 14:00 UTCWhen we've said 50–60%, the favourite won 850 of 1541

The sides

MeasureCapitalsGiants
XI caps2,772T20s between the XI2,425T20s between the XI
Top-seven average26.6T20 batting31.8T20 batting

When Capitals bat

+0.85 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6+1.23MiddleOvers 7–15+0.82DeathOvers 16–20+0.43

When Giants bat

+0.14 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6+0.26MiddleOvers 7–15−0.01DeathOvers 16–20+0.28

Capitals bat first

First innings182
Giants chase in18 overs
59%Giants win
41%Capitals win

Giants bat first

First innings171
Capitals chase in17.3 overs
57%Capitals win
43%Giants win

Too close to call, with Dubai Capitals stronger on paper through bowling

This one is too close to call: Dubai Capitals hold 49% and Gulf Giants 51%, a split that leaves no favourite worth naming. The Capitals are the stronger side on paper, about 14 runs clear, and the whole of that edge is bowling — 17.4 runs better than the Giants with the ball against a batting shortfall of 3.1. Their XI totals 27.8 runs against an average side, the Giants 13.6, with the Giants' bowling the weak unit at 5 runs worse than average.

Gulf Giants' top order averages 28 against left-arm finger spin since 2023, a third below their 42 against all bowling, where Full Member top sevens drop by a tenth. Dubai Capitals have Aayan Afzal Khan in our XI, and his 80 overs here have gone for 471.

What total is safe?

First inningsDefended
Under 15028%42 of 151
150–16948%44 of 92
170–18962%38 of 61
190–20990%18 of 20
210+100%5 of 5

The case for Capitals

  • Bowling is the clear edge, rated 17.4 runs better than the Giants' attack and 12.4 runs better than an average side.
  • Mustafizur Rahman and Noor Ahmad are both rated more than 3 runs better than an average bowler, and Haider Ali 4.3 better.
  • Faf du Plessis and Phil Salt give them a proven opening pair, with du Plessis rated 4.8 runs better than an average opener.

Batting standout

Faf du Plessis

Faf du Plessis

449 runs, SR 139, 11 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.8 runs a game with the bat.

449 runs at a strike rate of 139 in his last 10 T20 matches, all in the European T20 Premier League, and rated 4.8 runs better than an average opener. He has 480 runs in 15 innings at this ground.

Bowling standouts

Mustafizur Rahman

Mustafizur Rahman

13 wkts, econ 8.36 in the last 10. Rated +4.7 runs a game with the ball.

13 wickets at an economy of 8.36 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 4.7 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. His 63.3 overs here have cost 463.

Noor Ahmad

Noor Ahmad

6 wkts, econ 10.03 in the last 10. Rated +3.5 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 3.5 runs better than an average bowler, with 6 wickets at 10.03 in his last 10 T20 matches. His 36 overs at this ground have gone for 286.

The case for Giants

  • Batting is the stronger department, rated 18.6 runs against an average side and 3.1 runs better than the Capitals' batting.
  • Jos Buttler (4.3) and Heinrich Klaasen (4.1) are both rated more than 4 runs better than an average batter.
  • Rahmanullah Gurbaz has 361 runs at a strike rate of 188 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 29 sixes.

Batting standout

Rahmanullah Gurbaz

Rahmanullah Gurbaz

361 runs, SR 188, 29 sixes in the last 10. Rated +2.3 runs a game with the bat.

361 runs at a strike rate of 188 with 29 sixes in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 2.3 runs better than an average opener. He has 474 runs in 23 innings here.

Bowling weaknesses

Shamar Joseph

Shamar Joseph

6 wkts, econ 11.85 in the last 10. Rated −1.9 runs a game with the ball.

6 wickets at an economy of 11.85 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 1.9 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs. His 8 overs here have cost 75.

MK

Matiullah Khan

11 wkts, econ 8.86 in the last 10. Rated −1.7 runs a game with the ball.

11 wickets at an economy of 8.86 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 1.7 runs worse than an average bowler. His 31.1 overs here have gone for 240.

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