Faf du Plessis
449 runs, SR 139, 11 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.8 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 4.8 runs better than an average opener, he has 449 runs at a strike rate of 139 in his last 10 T20 matches, all in the European T20 Premier League.
The sides
| Measure | Capitals | MI Emirates |
|---|---|---|
| XI caps | 2,772T20s between the XI | 1,908T20s between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 26.6T20 batting | 25.4T20 batting |
When Capitals bat
+0.57 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6+0.67MiddleOvers 7–15+0.58DeathOvers 16–20+0.40
When MI Emirates bat
−0.10 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6+0.05MiddleOvers 7–15−0.05DeathOvers 16–20−0.37
Capitals bat first
First innings184
MI Emirates chase in18.3 overs
55%MI Emirates win
45%Capitals win
MI Emirates bat first
First innings172
Capitals chase in17.4 overs
61%Capitals win
39%MI Emirates win
Dubai Capitals favoured by about 12 runs, driven by bowling
Dubai Capitals are favoured, with a win chance of 53% to MI Emirates' 47%. The edge is about 12 runs on paper, and it comes mostly from bowling: Capitals are 8.6 runs better with the ball and 3.4 better with the bat. Their XI totals 27.8 runs above average, against 15.9 for MI Emirates. The projected first-innings scores are 184 for Capitals and 172 for MI Emirates, against a par score of 169.
MI Emirates' bowling is the weak link. Their unit is rated 3.8 runs worse than an average attack, and two of their bowlers carry negative ratings: Romario Shepherd is 1.3 runs worse than average and Wasim Akram 1.1 worse. That is the most telling point in a match where Capitals' bowling strength meets an MI Emirates attack that concedes more than average.
What total is safe?
First inningsDefended
Under 15019%16 of 85
150–16946%21 of 46
170–18977%30 of 39
190–20975%12 of 16
210+100%9 of 9
The case for Capitals
- Bowling edge of 8.6 runs: Mustafizur Rahman (4.7), Haider Ali (4.3) and Noor Ahmad (3.5) are all rated better than average.
- Batting edge of 3.4 runs, with Faf du Plessis (4.8) and Phil Salt (3.6) rated above average at the top.
Batting standout
Bowling standouts
Mustafizur Rahman
13 wkts, econ 8.36 in the last 10. Rated +4.7 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 4.7 runs better than an average bowler over four overs, he has 13 wickets at an economy of 8.36 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Noor Ahmad
6 wkts, econ 10.03 in the last 10. Rated +3.5 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 3.5 runs better than an average bowler, he has 6 wickets at an economy of 10.03 in his last 10 T20 matches.
The case for MI Emirates
- Sherfane Rutherford is rated 2.9 runs better than an average middle-order batter and has 271 runs at a strike rate of 166 in his last 10 T20 matches.
- Allah Ghazanfar (3.9) and Fazalhaq Farooqi (3.6) are both rated better than average with the ball.
Batting standout
Sherfane Rutherford
271 runs, SR 166, 17 sixes in the last 10. Rated +2.9 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 2.9 runs better than an average middle-order batter, he has 271 runs at a strike rate of 166 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Bowling weaknesses
Romario Shepherd
4 wkts, econ 12.61 in the last 10. Rated −1.3 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 1.3 runs worse than an average bowler, he has 4 wickets at an economy of 12.61 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Wasim Akram
6 wkts, econ 9.84 in the last 10. Rated −1.1 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 1.1 runs worse than an average bowler, he has 6 wickets at an economy of 9.84 in his last 10 T20 matches, the most recent in December 2025.