Oddsworth

South Africa v Australia, 2nd ODI: South Africa won by 32 runs

South Africa 365-9; our pre-match call 76%. Australia 333; our pre-match call 24%.

South Africa v Australia ODI series 2026, 2nd ODI

South Africa won by 32 runs

Sunday 27 September 2026, 10:00am SASTThe Wanderers, Johannesburg

Prediction locked in 26th September, 22:34 UTCWhen we've said 70–80%, the favourite won 111 of 151

The sides

MeasureSouth AfricaAustralia
Rating17444th of 2017093rd of 20
Home advantage+130Rating points–Touring
XI caps562ODIs between the XI635ODIs between the XI
Top-seven average41.8ODI batting in South Africa31.1ODI batting in South Africa

When South Africa bat

+0.11 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–10−0.10MiddleOvers 11–45+0.19DeathOvers 46–50+0.03

When Australia bat

+0.26 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–10+0.79MiddleOvers 11–45+0.18DeathOvers 46–50−0.26

First innings

286South Africa bat first
252Australia bat first
277Par
248Average here since 2019, 8 innings
439Highest here, South Africa 2015

Australia were 90 for none and lost by 67. Can they put it right at the Wanderers?

Australia were 90 without loss after 9.2 overs at Kingsmead, Mitchell Marsh 60 off 36 balls, chasing 297. From 129 for 1 they lost their last nine wickets for 101, and the left-arm spin of Keshav Maharaj (4 for 20) and Bjorn Fortuin (2 for 34) took six of them. South Africa had been 168 for 5 before Matthew Breetzke (112 off 106) and Marco Jansen (75 off 59) added 107. They lead 1–0, and we make them 76% to win at the Wanderers and take the series with a game to spare.

The Wanderers has been South Africa's ground in this fixture. They have won three of their four ODIs against Australia here: the 438 chase in 2006, then the last two by 142 runs in 2016 and 122 in 2023. Par is 277, but first innings here since 2019 have averaged 248, and South Africa were bowled out for 116 by India on it in 2023. The forecast is dry and warm, in the mid-twenties.

What total is safe?

ODIs in South Africa since 2019

First inningsDefended
Under 2500%0 of 12
250–27913%1 of 8
280–30983%5 of 6
310–339100%6 of 6
340+83%5 of 6

The case for South Africa

  • David Miller has 379 ODI runs at the Wanderers at an average of 47.4 and a strike rate of 125.9, against his career 104.0. He averages 57.4 against Australia.
  • Marco Jansen has eight wickets in his three ODIs here at 17.0 each, half his career average of 33.5.
  • Maharaj conceded 2.14 an over at Kingsmead, against his career economy rate of 4.78, and went into the series with 18 wickets against Australia at an average of 25.8, against his career 31.4.

Batting standout

Quinton de Kock

Quinton de Kock

385 runs in the last 10 ODIs. Career average 45.9, strike rate 97.

Bowling standout

The case for Australia

  • Marsh went into the series with 452 runs in his last ten ODIs at an average of 50.2, against his career 37.8, and his 60 at Kingsmead came with six sixes.
  • Cameron Green averages 58.0 against South Africa at a strike rate of 119.2, against his career 41.1 and 83.4.

Batting standout

Mitchell Marsh

Mitchell Marsh

495 runs in the last 10 ODIs. Career average 38.2, strike rate 97.

Bowling standout

Nathan Ellis

Nathan Ellis

22 wickets in the last 10 ODIs. Career economy 5.22.

Share