Western Province are favoured, with a 70% win chance. They are stronger on paper by about 27 runs, built mainly on a batting edge of about 21 runs, with a bowling edge of about 6. Their projected first-innings score is 163, while Boland's is 146. Boland's batting is the weakest unit, rated about 26 runs worse than an average T20 batting line-up.
The par score here is 164, and the recent average first-innings score at this ground is 167 from 19 innings since 2023. Chasing has been the better option: 11 of the last 19 games here were won by the side batting second. The sharpest angle is Boland's batting: they are without a single positive batting rating in the top order, and their most recent form is old.