Oddsworth

Western Province v Boland: Western Province won by 6 wickets

Western Province 175-4; our pre-match call 70%. Boland 174-7; our pre-match call 30%.

Pro20 Cup 2026/27, match 37

Western Province won by 6 wickets

Wednesday 14 October 2026, 6:00pm SASTNewlands, Cape Town

Prediction locked in 13th October, 22:50 UTCWhen we've said 70–80%, the favourite won 202 of 253

The sides

MeasureWestern ProvinceBoland
XI caps550T20s between the XI240T20s between the XI
Top-seven average27.1T20 batting17.9T20 batting

When Western Province bat

0.00 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6+0.20MiddleOvers 7–15+0.05DeathOvers 16–20−0.31

When Boland bat

−0.58 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6−0.84MiddleOvers 7–15−0.64DeathOvers 16–20−0.17

Western Province bat first

First innings163
Boland short by42 runs
70%Western Province win
30%Boland win

Boland bat first

First innings146
Western Province chase in17.1 overs
70%Western Province win
30%Boland win

Western Province favoured by about 27 runs at Newlands

Western Province are favoured, with a 70% win chance. They are stronger on paper by about 27 runs, built mainly on a batting edge of about 21 runs, with a bowling edge of about 6. Their projected first-innings score is 163, while Boland's is 146. Boland's batting is the weakest unit, rated about 26 runs worse than an average T20 batting line-up.

The par score here is 164, and the recent average first-innings score at this ground is 167 from 19 innings since 2023. Chasing has been the better option: 11 of the last 19 games here were won by the side batting second. The sharpest angle is Boland's batting: they are without a single positive batting rating in the top order, and their most recent form is old.

What total is safe?

First inningsDefended
Under 15019%6 of 32
150–16955%11 of 20
170–18959%10 of 17
190–20986%6 of 7
210+100%2 of 2

The case for Western Province

  • Batting edge of about 21 runs over Boland, with Josh van Heerden and George Linde both rated above average.
  • Bowling edge of about 6 runs, with George Linde and Nandre Burger rated above average.
  • Projected first-innings score of 163, close to the par score of 164.

Batting standout

Josh van Heerden

Josh van Heerden

404 runs, SR 152, 14 sixes in the last 10. Rated +2.3 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 2.3 runs better than an average batter. He has 404 runs at a strike rate of 151.9 in his last 10 T20 matches, with 14 sixes, and also bowls, rated 0.7 runs worse than average with limited data.

Bowling standouts

George Linde

George Linde

13 wkts, econ 7.63 in the last 10. Rated +1.6 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 1.6 runs better than an average bowler and 1.1 runs better than an average batter. He has 13 wickets at an economy of 7.63 and 190 runs at a strike rate of 152 in his last 10 T20 matches.

Nandre Burger

Nandre Burger

10 wkts, econ 10.18 in the last 10. Rated +1.0 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 1 run better than an average bowler. He has 10 wickets in his last 10 T20 matches, though his economy in that window is 10.18. His career economy is 8.46.

The case for Boland

  • Chasing record here: 11 of the last 19 games at this ground were won by the side batting second.
  • Lizaad Williams has 17 wickets in his last 10 T20 matches, a genuine wicket-taking threat.

Batting weaknesses

GK

Gavin Kaplan

195 runs, SR 116, 3 sixes in the last 10. Rated −3.4 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 3.4 runs worse than an average opener. He has 195 runs at a strike rate of 116.1 in his last 10 T20 matches, but that form is 24 months old.

Neil Brand

Neil Brand

92 runs, SR 103, 2 sixes in the last 10. Rated −4.2 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 4.2 runs worse than an average opener with limited data. He has 92 runs at a strike rate of 103.4 in his last 10 T20 matches, and that form is 24 months old.

Bowling weakness

Lizaad Williams

Lizaad Williams

17 wkts, econ 9.47 in the last 10. Rated −1.1 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 1.1 runs worse than an average bowler. He has 17 wickets in his last 10 T20 matches, but his economy in that window is 9.47, and his career economy is 8.91.

Share