Oddsworth

Durban's Super Giants v Sunrisers Eastern Cape: too close to call

Super Giants 52%. Sunrisers 48%.

SA20|5, match 5

Thursday 21 January 2027, 5:30pm SASTKingsmead, Durban

Prediction locks 21st January, 15:00 UTCWhen we've said 50–60%, the favourite won 558 of 1019

The sides

MeasureSuper GiantsSunrisers
XI caps2,829T20s between the XI1,986T20s between the XI
Top-seven average28.2T20 batting29.8T20 batting

When Super Giants bat

+0.19 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6−0.06MiddleOvers 7–15+0.39DeathOvers 16–20+0.12

When Sunrisers bat

−0.19 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6−0.38MiddleOvers 7–15−0.10DeathOvers 16–20−0.13

Super Giants bat first

First innings182
Sunrisers short by33 runs
52%Super Giants win
48%Sunrisers win

Sunrisers bat first

First innings165
Super Giants chase in17.5 overs
52%Super Giants win
48%Sunrisers win

Too close to call, with Durban's Super Giants stronger on paper

This one is too close to call, with Durban's Super Giants holding a 52% win chance to Sunrisers Eastern Cape's 48%. The Super Giants are also the stronger side on paper, worth about 11 runs more than the Sunrisers across the XI, with a batting edge of 6.3 runs and a bowling edge of 4.7. Their projected first-innings total of 182 against the Sunrisers' 165 points the same way, but the gap is not big enough to separate them.

Jos Buttler is the standout: 400 runs at a strike rate of 179 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 4.9 runs better than an average batter in his slot. Sunil Narine's 12 wickets at an economy of 4.87 in the same window, and a bowling rating 8.8 runs better than an average bowler over four overs, give the Super Giants a second front-line threat that the Sunrisers do not match.

What total is safe?

First inningsDefended
Under 15031%10 of 32
150–16954%15 of 28
170–18976%13 of 17
190–20991%10 of 11
210+100%6 of 6

The case for Super Giants

  • Buttler, Klaasen and Markram give the top order a batting rating 6.3 runs better than the Sunrisers'.
  • Narine and Noor Ahmad lead a bowling attack rated 4.7 runs better than the Sunrisers'.

Batting standouts

Jos Buttler

Jos Buttler

400 runs, SR 179, 25 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.9 runs a game with the bat.

400 runs at a strike rate of 179 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 4.9 runs better than an average batter in his slot.

Heinrich Klaasen

Heinrich Klaasen

295 runs, SR 165, 15 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.8 runs a game with the bat.

295 runs at a strike rate of 165 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 4.8 runs better than an average batter in his slot.

Bowling standout

Sunil Narine

Sunil Narine

12 wkts, econ 4.87 in the last 10. Rated +8.8 runs a game with the ball.

12 wickets at an economy of 4.87 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 8.8 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.

Bowling weakness

Eathan Bosch

Eathan Bosch

12 wkts, econ 8.26 in the last 10. Rated −0.8 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 0.8 runs worse than an average bowler over his expected three overs, with an economy of 8.26 in his last 10 T20 matches.

The case for Sunrisers

  • De Kock and Bairstow are a proven opening pair, both rated better than an average opener.
  • Nortje and Milne provide right-arm pace rated 3.2 and 2.8 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.

Batting standout

Quinton de Kock

Quinton de Kock

350 runs, SR 141, 17 sixes in the last 10. Rated +2.8 runs a game with the bat.

350 runs at a strike rate of 141 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 2.8 runs better than an average opener.

Bowling standout

Anrich Nortje

Anrich Nortje

19 wkts, econ 7.15 in the last 10. Rated +3.2 runs a game with the ball.

19 wickets at an economy of 7.15 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 3.2 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.

Share