Ryan Rickelton
351 runs, SR 172, 23 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.5 runs a game with the bat.
351 runs at a strike rate of 172 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 4.5 runs better than an average opener.
The sides
| Measure | MI Cape Town | Royals |
|---|---|---|
| XI caps | 2,857T20s between the XI | 1,940T20s between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 29.0T20 batting | 27.8T20 batting |
When MI Cape Town bat
+0.19 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6+0.20MiddleOvers 7–15+0.29DeathOvers 16–20−0.01
When Royals bat
−0.37 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6−0.31MiddleOvers 7–15−0.24DeathOvers 16–20−0.68
MI Cape Town bat first
First innings172
Royals short by34 runs
63%MI Cape Town win
37%Royals win
Royals bat first
First innings164
MI Cape Town chase in17.4 overs
62%MI Cape Town win
38%Royals win
MI Cape Town favoured by about 12 runs at Newlands
MI Cape Town are favoured, with a win chance of 62% against Paarl Royals' 38%. The edge is about 12 runs on paper, built from both batting and bowling: their XI is 6.7 runs stronger with the bat and 5.5 with the ball. The projected first-innings totals point the same way, 172 for MI Cape Town and 164 for Paarl Royals against a par score of 169.
Paarl Royals' top order has a clear problem against left-arm finger spin. Their top seven average 28 against that bowling since 2023, a third below their 42 against all bowling, while Full Member top sevens drop by only a tenth. MI Cape Town have George Linde, a left-arm finger spinner, in our XI, and his 13 wickets at 7.64 in his last 10 T20 matches make him the obvious threat.
What total is safe?
First inningsDefended
Under 15018%6 of 33
150–16955%11 of 20
170–18956%10 of 18
190–20975%6 of 8
210+100%2 of 2
The case for MI Cape Town
- Batting strength of 14.3 runs above average, led by Ryan Rickelton (4.5) and Nicolas Pooran (4.1).
- Bowling strength of 16.6 runs above average, with Rashid Khan (6.9) and Corbin Bosch (3.6) the standouts.
Batting standout
Bowling standouts
Rashid Khan
13 wkts, econ 8.24 in the last 10. Rated +6.9 runs a game with the ball.
13 wickets at an economy of 8.24 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 6.9 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.
George Linde
13 wkts, econ 7.64 in the last 10. Rated +1.3 runs a game with the ball.
13 wickets at an economy of 7.64 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 1.3 runs better than an average bowler over four overs.
The case for Royals
- LG Pretorius is in strong form: 612 runs at a strike rate of 187.7 in his last 10 T20 matches.
- Sikandar Raza offers twin threat, rated 2.1 runs better than average with the bat and 2.5 with the ball.
Batting standout
LG Pretorius
612 runs, SR 188, 32 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.3 runs a game with the bat.
612 runs at a strike rate of 187.7 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 4.3 runs better than an average opener.
Batting weakness
Bjorn Fortuin
33 runs, SR 100 in the last 10. Rated −1.4 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 1.4 runs worse than an average batter, with 33 runs at a strike rate of 100 in his last 10 T20 matches.
Bowling weakness
N Mokoena
10 wkts, econ 8.42 in the last 10. Rated −2.2 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 2.2 runs worse than an average bowler over four overs, with 10 wickets at an economy of 8.42 in his last 10 T20 matches.