Oddsworth

MI Cape Town v Paarl Royals: MI Cape Town 62% to win

MI Cape Town 62%. Royals 38%.

SA20|5, match 6

Friday 22 January 2027, 5:30pm SASTNewlands, Cape Town

Prediction locks 22nd January, 15:00 UTCWhen we've said 60–70%, the favourite won 289 of 481

Newlands

Cape Town, South Africa · 23 SA20 matches here

First men's T20
2007
Men's T20s
88

The ground's full record

Batting first here

36%

8 of 22 won batting first over the last three years. All-time 43% (35 of 81). CSA T20 Challenge, SA20, T20Is, Mzansi Super League and IPL.

Every first innings here

29 of 84

reached par (169). Median 157.

Under par Par or more

Recent SA20 first innings average 163; games here have scored about 1% above their leagues' averages. Medians by era: 2008–2017 148, 2018–2022 173, 2023 onward 163.

Weather: wet, like 9 Jan 2022

Rain risk

37%

of games in wet weather at SA20 grounds were shortened or washed out (34 of 92).

9 January 2022 at Newlands: 20 °C, humidity 87%, wind 7 km/h and 2.5 mm of rain during the hours of play. 7 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 22 January in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at Newlands during these hours.

These conditions carry a medium rain risk, with 2.5 mm recorded during the hours of play in the reference evening and the wettest spell from 18:00 to 19:00, overlapping the first innings. At SA20 grounds, 37% of games in similar wet weather were shortened or washed out. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring.

During play: 19.6 °C on average, humidity 87%, wind 7 km/h gusting to 46. Humidity climbs from 79% to 92%; at SA20 grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.

Heaviest rain 18:00–19:00, mostly over the first innings. Runs figures assume 20 overs. If overs are lost, totals and par come down.

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