Faf du Plessis
449 runs, SR 139, 11 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.6 runs a game with the bat.
449 runs at a strike rate of 139 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 4.6 runs better than an average opener. He is Joburg's main batting threat.
The sides
| Measure | Super Kings | Sunrisers |
|---|---|---|
| XI caps | 1,984T20s between the XI | 1,986T20s between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 29.1T20 batting | 29.8T20 batting |
When Super Kings bat
−0.04 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6+0.11MiddleOvers 7–15−0.27DeathOvers 16–20+0.20
When Sunrisers bat
+0.13 an overPowerplayOvers 1–6−0.01MiddleOvers 7–15+0.17DeathOvers 16–20+0.23
Super Kings bat first
First innings176
Sunrisers chase in18.1 overs
64%Sunrisers win
36%Super Kings win
Sunrisers bat first
First innings180
Super Kings short by32 runs
65%Sunrisers win
35%Super Kings win
Sunrisers Eastern Cape favoured, their bowling the difference
Sunrisers Eastern Cape are favoured at about 65%, and the reason is the bowling. Their attack rates 9 runs better than an average one, against 4.9 for Joburg Super Kings, a gap of 4.1 runs that more than accounts for the 3.9-run edge on paper. Joburg's batting is marginally ahead, by 0.2 runs, but that is not enough to close the bowling gap. The projected first-innings totals, 180 for Sunrisers and 176 for Joburg, sit above the par score of 174.
Joburg's top order will have to cope with Anrich Nortje, who has 19 wickets at an economy of 7.15 in his last 10 T20 matches, and Adam Milne, rated 2.8 runs better than an average bowler. Nortje's pace and Milne's record give Sunrisers the stronger attack in the match, and that is the single most telling point.
What total is safe?
First inningsDefended
Under 15018%6 of 33
150–16952%12 of 23
170–18953%8 of 15
190–20975%12 of 16
210+92%11 of 12
The case for Super Kings
- Faf du Plessis is rated 4.6 runs better than an average opener, and James Vince is 2.6 runs better, giving Joburg a strong top order.
- Their batting rates 10.4 runs better than an average side, marginally ahead of Sunrisers' 10.2.
Batting standout
Batting weakness
M De Villiers
133 runs, SR 109, 2 sixes in the last 10. Rated −1.8 runs a game with the bat.
133 runs at a strike rate of 109 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 1.8 runs worse than an average batter. He is a weak link in the middle order.
Bowling weakness
Wiaan Mulder
7 wkts, econ 10.36 in the last 10. Rated −2.1 runs a game with the ball.
7 wickets at an economy of 10.36 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 2.1 runs worse than an average bowler. His overs are where Sunrisers can score.
The case for Sunrisers
- Their bowling rates 9 runs better than an average attack, against 4.9 for Joburg, a clear edge.
- Anrich Nortje, Adam Milne and Marco Jansen all rate positively with the ball, giving Sunrisers depth across the innings.
Bowling standouts
Anrich Nortje
19 wkts, econ 7.15 in the last 10. Rated +3.2 runs a game with the ball.
19 wickets at an economy of 7.15 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 3.2 runs better than an average bowler. He leads the Sunrisers attack.
Adam Milne
9 wkts, econ 8.60 in the last 10. Rated +2.8 runs a game with the ball.
9 wickets at an economy of 8.6 in his last 10 T20 matches, and rated 2.8 runs better than an average bowler. He gives Sunrisers a second strong pace option.