Perth Scorchers v Sydney Thunder: Thunder 57% to win

Scorchers 43%. Thunder 57%.

Wednesday 11 November 2026, 4:10pm AWST (7:10pm AEDT)WACA Ground, Perth

Prediction locks 11th November, 07:40 UTCWhen we've said 50–60%, the favourite won 402 of 713

The sides

Measure	Scorchers	Thunder
XI caps	1,566T20s between the XI	1,805T20s between the XI
Top-seven average	24.4T20 batting	25.6T20 batting

When Scorchers bat

−0.33 an over

PowerplayOvers 1–6−0.25MiddleOvers 7–15−0.35DeathOvers 16–20−0.39

When Thunder bat

+0.49 an over

PowerplayOvers 1–6+0.82MiddleOvers 7–15+0.61DeathOvers 16–20−0.13

Scorchers bat first

First innings160

Thunder chase in17.2 overs

59%Thunder win

41%Scorchers win

Thunder bat first

First innings171

Scorchers short by29 runs

55%Thunder win

45%Scorchers win

Scorchers v Thunder: Thunder 57% to win

Scorchers are 43% to win, Thunder 57%. Thunder are rated 14.8 runs a game the stronger side.

Batting first, Scorchers would make about 160 and Thunder 171, against a par of 150 at WACA Ground. Teams batting first have won 10 of the last 17 here.

What total is safe?

First inningsDefended

Under 15033%9 of 27

150–16960%6 of 10

170–18980%4 of 5

190–209100%2 of 2

210+No games

The case for Scorchers

Batting standout

Beth Mooney

236 runs, SR 123, 1 sixes in the last 10. Rated +7.1 runs a game with the bat.

The case for Thunder

Bowling standout

Samantha Bates

15 wkts, econ 5.64 in the last 10. Rated +6.7 runs a game with the ball.