Oddsworth

Melbourne Renegades v Hobart Hurricanes: Hurricanes 61% to win

Renegades 39%. Hurricanes 61%.

KFC BBL|16, match 11

Thursday 24 December 2026, 7:15pm AEDTJunction Oval, Melbourne

Prediction locks 24th December, 07:45 UTCWhen we've said 60–70%, the favourite won 289 of 481
Photo: DustyNail · CC BY-SA 4.0

Junction Oval

Melbourne, Australia · 2 BBL matches here

St Kilda's ground dates from 1856 and reopened in 2018 after a $40 million rebuild as Cricket Victoria's headquarters and Sheffield Shield home.

Opened
1856
Capacity
7,000 seats
Home to
Cricket Victoria; Melbourne Stars (BBL)

The ground's full record

Batting first here

100%

2 of 2 won batting first all-time. No completed game here in the last three years. BBL only.

Every first innings here

2 of 2

reached par (179). Median 205.

Recent BBL first innings average 170; games here have scored about 3% above their leagues' averages. Medians by era: 2008–2017 –, 2018–2022 205, 2023 onward –.

Too few completed first innings here to chart. Par comes from recent BBL scoring and the ground's record.

Weather: hot, like 13 Jan 2022

Rain risk

4%

of games in dry weather at Australian BBL grounds were shortened (26 of 639).

13 January 2022 at Junction Oval: 27 °C, humidity 57%, wind 10 km/h and 0 mm of rain during the hours of play. 33 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 24 December in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at Junction Oval during these hours.

These conditions are dry and hot, with no rain expected during the match. Across 639 games at Australian BBL grounds in similar weather, only 4% were shortened or washed out. Rain should not be a factor, and heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring.

During play: 26.8 °C on average, humidity 57%, wind 10 km/h gusting to 23. Humidity climbs from 47% to 66%; at Australian BBL grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.

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