Oddsworth

Sydney Thunder v Melbourne Renegades: Thunder 59% to win

Thunder 59%. Renegades 41%.

KFC BBL|16, match 14

Sunday 27 December 2026, 7:15pm AEDTSydney Showground Stadium, Sydney

Prediction locks 27th December, 07:45 UTCWhen we've said 50–60%, the favourite won 558 of 1019
Photo: Gibbsyspin · CC0

Sydney Showground Stadium

Sydney, Australia · 41 BBL matches here

Built for the 1998 Royal Easter Show and used for baseball at the 2000 Olympics, the stadium has been the Thunder's home since 2015.

Opened
1998
Capacity
22,102 seats
Home to
Sydney Thunder (BBL)

The ground's full record

Batting first here

57%

4 of 7 won batting first over the last three years. All-time 50% (16 of 32). BBL only.

Every first innings here

7 of 36

reached par (174). Median 161.

Under par Par or more

Recent BBL first innings average 170; games here have scored in line with their leagues' averages. Medians by era: 2008–2017 159, 2018–2022 162, 2023 onward 161.

Weather: hot, like 4 Jan 2019

Rain risk

4%

of games in dry weather at Australian BBL grounds were shortened (26 of 639).

4 January 2019 at Sydney Showground Stadium: 26 °C, humidity 70%, wind 13 km/h and 0 mm of rain during the hours of play. 32 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 27 December in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at Sydney Showground Stadium during these hours.

These conditions are dry, with no rain expected during the match. Only 4% of games at Australian BBL grounds in similar weather have been shortened or washed out, so rain is unlikely to overlap either innings. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring at these grounds.

During play: 26.0 °C on average, humidity 70%, wind 13 km/h gusting to 36. Humidity climbs from 61% to 77%; at Australian BBL grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.

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