Oddsworth

Sydney Thunder v Melbourne Stars: Stars 57% to win

Thunder 43%. Stars 57%.

KFC BBL|16, match 32

Monday 11 January 2027, 7:15pm AEDTManuka Oval, Canberra

Prediction locks 11th January, 07:45 UTCWhen we've said 50–60%, the favourite won 558 of 1019
Photo: Steve · CC BY-SA 2.0

Manuka Oval

Canberra, Australia · 29 BBL matches here

Manuka Oval was enclosed as a sports ground in 1929 and has staged the Prime Minister's XI match since 1951.

Opened
1929
Capacity
15,000 seats
Ends
Pool End · Manuka End
Home to
Sydney Thunder (BBL), second home

The ground's full record

Batting first here

50%

3 of 6 won batting first over the last three years. All-time 37% (10 of 27). BBL and T20Is.

Every first innings here

8 of 31

reached par (175). Median 163.

Under par Par or more

Recent BBL first innings average 170; games here have scored in line with their leagues' averages. Medians by era: 2008–2017 147, 2018–2022 166, 2023 onward 151.

Weather: hot, like 27 Jan 2026

Rain risk

4%

of games in dry weather at Australian BBL grounds were shortened (26 of 639).

27 January 2026 at Manuka Oval: 28 °C, humidity 35%, wind 11 km/h and 0 mm of rain during the hours of play. 36 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 11 January in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at Manuka Oval during these hours.

These conditions are hot and dry, with no rain expected during the hours of play. Across 639 games at Australian BBL grounds in similar weather, 4% were shortened or washed out, so the risk of interruption is low and neither innings is especially exposed. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring at those grounds.

During play: 28.2 °C on average, humidity 35%, wind 11 km/h gusting to 28. Humidity climbs from 25% to 47%; at Australian BBL grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.

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