Oddsworth

Brisbane Heat v Sydney Thunder: Heat 60% to win

Heat 60%. Thunder 40%.

KFC BBL|16, match 40

Sunday 17 January 2027, 7:15pm AEST (8:15pm AEDT)The Gabba, Brisbane

Prediction locks 17th January, 08:45 UTCWhen we've said 60–70%, the favourite won 289 of 481
Photo: Rae Allen · CC BY 2.0

The Gabba

Brisbane, Australia · 67 BBL matches here

The Gabba opened in 1895 and held its first Test in November 1931.

Opened
1895
Capacity
37,000 seats
Ends
Stanley Street End · Vulture Street End
Home to
Brisbane Heat (BBL)

The ground's full record

Batting first here

31%

4 of 13 won batting first over the last three years. All-time 48% (34 of 71). BBL and T20Is.

Every first innings here

24 of 74

reached par (179). Median 172.

Under par Par or more

Recent BBL first innings average 170; games here have scored about 3% above their leagues' averages. Medians by era: 2008–2017 174, 2018–2022 161, 2023 onward 177.

Weather: hot, like 1 Jan 2018

Rain risk

4%

of games in dry weather at Australian BBL grounds were shortened (26 of 639).

1 January 2018 at The Gabba: 26 °C, humidity 95%, wind 5 km/h and 0 mm of rain during the hours of play. 28 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 17 January in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at The Gabba during these hours.

These conditions are dry: 0 mm of rain during the hours of play, with 28 of 430 comparable evenings in the last decade seeing at least 1 mm at The Gabba. Only 4% of games in similar weather at Australian BBL grounds were shortened or washed out. Rain should not be a factor, and heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring.

During play: 25.6 °C on average, humidity 95%, wind 5 km/h gusting to 12. Humidity climbs from 89% to 99%; at Australian BBL grounds, chasing success hasn't varied with humidity.

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