Capitals 54%. Knight Riders 46%.
ILT20|5, match 3
Sunday 22 November 2026, 6:30pm GMT+4Dubai International Cricket Stadium, Dubai
| Measure | Capitals | Knight Riders |
|---|---|---|
| XI caps | 2,772T20s between the XI | 2,301T20s between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 26.6T20 batting | 24.8T20 batting |
Dubai Capitals are the call at 54%, but this is a narrow one: the Knight Riders are the stronger side on paper by about 7 runs, and the gap is all in the bowling. Abu Dhabi's attack rates 8.4 runs better than Dubai's, which more than covers Dubai's 1.8-run batting edge. Dubai's batting carries the XI, with Faf du Plessis and Phil Salt both rated above average at the top, but the bowling unit is the weaker half of their game and the model still leans their way on win chances.
Sunil Narine is the single most telling point. He is rated 8.4 runs better than an average bowler over four overs, the largest bowling figure in either XI, and his last 10 T20 matches brought 12 wickets at an economy of 4.87. Against a Dubai top order that leans on two openers, that spell is where Abu Dhabi's paper advantage lives.
449 runs, SR 139, 11 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.8 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 4.8 runs better than an average opener. His last 10 T20 matches brought 449 runs at a strike rate of 139.4, all in the European T20 Premier League, and he has 480 runs in 15 innings at this ground.
233 runs, SR 117, 9 sixes in the last 10. Rated +3.6 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 3.6 runs better than an average opener. He has 233 runs in his last 10 T20 matches at a strike rate of 116.5, and 252 runs in nine innings at this ground.
4 wkts, econ 7.36 in the last 10. Rated −1.1 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 1.1 runs worse than an average bowler over his expected three overs. His last 10 T20 matches brought four wickets at an economy of 7.36, and he has gone for 100 runs in 11 overs at this ground.
185 runs, SR 134, 12 sixes in the last 10. Rated +6.3 runs a game with the bat.
Rated 6.3 runs better than an average opener, the biggest batting figure in either XI. His last 10 T20 matches brought 185 runs at a strike rate of 134.1, with 12 sixes.
12 wkts, econ 4.87 in the last 10. Rated +8.4 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 8.4 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. His last 10 T20 matches brought 12 wickets at an economy of 4.87, and he has 623 career T20 wickets at 6.23.
10 wkts, econ 6.05 in the last 10. Rated +7.7 runs a game with the ball.
Rated 7.7 runs better than an average bowler over four overs. His last 10 T20 matches brought 10 wickets at an economy of 6.05, and he has 97 career T20 wickets at 6.89.