Oddsworth

Abu Dhabi Knight Riders v Dubai Capitals: too close to call

Knight Riders 48%. Capitals 52%.

ILT20|5, match 30

Monday 14 December 2026, 6:30pm GMT+4Sheikh Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi

Prediction locks 14th December, 14:00 UTCWhen we've said 50–60%, the favourite won 850 of 1541

The sides

MeasureKnight RidersCapitals
XI caps2,301T20s between the XI2,772T20s between the XI
Top-seven average24.8T20 batting26.6T20 batting

When Knight Riders bat

+0.04 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6+0.10MiddleOvers 7–15+0.12DeathOvers 16–20−0.15

When Capitals bat

−0.08 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6+0.28MiddleOvers 7–15−0.29DeathOvers 16–20−0.15

Knight Riders bat first

First innings174
Capitals chase in18.1 overs
60%Capitals win
40%Knight Riders win

Capitals bat first

First innings165
Knight Riders chase in17.4 overs
56%Knight Riders win
44%Capitals win

Too close to call as Abu Dhabi's bowling meets Dubai's batting

This is too close to call, with Dubai Capitals holding a 52% win chance to Abu Dhabi Knight Riders' 48%. Abu Dhabi are stronger on paper by about 7 runs, built almost entirely on a bowling edge of 8.4 runs; Dubai's batting is 1.8 runs better. The projected first-innings totals are 174 for Abu Dhabi and 165 for Dubai, against a par score of 169.

Abu Dhabi's attack is led by Sunil Narine, rated 8.4 runs better than an average bowler, and Usman Tariq, 7.7 better. Dubai's bowling is their weaker unit, rated 12.4 runs worse than average, with Karim Janat the weak link at 1.1 runs worse than an average bowler.

What total is safe?

First inningsDefended
Under 15019%16 of 85
150–16946%21 of 46
170–18977%30 of 39
190–20975%12 of 16
210+100%9 of 9

The case for Knight Riders

  • Bowling unit rated 20.8 runs better than average, led by Sunil Narine (8.4) and Usman Tariq (7.7).
  • Projected to score 174 batting first, the higher of the two first-innings projections.

Batting standout

Finn Allen

Finn Allen

185 runs, SR 134, 12 sixes in the last 10. Rated +6.3 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 6.3 runs better than an average opener, with 185 runs at a strike rate of 134.1 in his last 10 T20 matches.

Bowling standouts

Sunil Narine

Sunil Narine

12 wkts, econ 4.87 in the last 10. Rated +8.4 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 8.4 runs better than an average bowler, with 12 wickets at an economy of 4.87 in his last 10 T20 matches.

Usman Tariq

Usman Tariq

10 wkts, econ 6.05 in the last 10. Rated +7.7 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 7.7 runs better than an average bowler, with 10 wickets at an economy of 6.05 in his last 10 T20 matches.

The case for Capitals

  • Batting unit rated 15.5 runs better than average, with Faf du Plessis (4.8) and Phil Salt (3.6) the standouts.
  • Chasers have won 23 of the last 44 games here, and the projected first-innings total for Dubai is 165.

Batting standout

Faf du Plessis

Faf du Plessis

449 runs, SR 139, 11 sixes in the last 10. Rated +4.8 runs a game with the bat.

Rated 4.8 runs better than an average opener, with 449 runs at a strike rate of 139.4 in his last 10 T20 matches.

Bowling weakness

Karim Janat

Karim Janat

4 wkts, econ 7.36 in the last 10. Rated −1.1 runs a game with the ball.

Rated 1.1 runs worse than an average bowler, with 4 wickets at an economy of 7.36 in his last 10 T20 matches.

Share