Oddsworth

Afghanistan v Zimbabwe, 1st Test: Afghanistan 73%

Afghanistan 73%. Zimbabwe 19%. Draw 8%.

Afghanistan v Zimbabwe Test series 2026, 1st Test

Thursday 5 November 2026, 6:00am GMT (10:00am local)Sharjah Cricket Stadium, SharjahDraw 8%

Prediction locked on Friday 6 November, 2:16am GMTWhen we've said 70–80%, the favourite won 25 of 35

The sides

MeasureAfghanistanZimbabwe
Elo rating1391Rating points1222Rating points
Home advantage+110Rating points–Touring
XI caps73Tests between the XI142Tests between the XI
Top-seven average28.3Test batting in Afghanistan28.8Test batting in Afghanistan
Bowling average42.3Five main bowlers, Tests37.6Five main bowlers, Tests

When Afghanistan bat

+0.10 an over
New ballOvers 1–20+0.24Old ballOvers 21–80−0.03Second new ballOvers 81 on+0.37

When Zimbabwe bat

−0.54 an over
New ballOvers 1–20−0.43Old ballOvers 21–80−0.65Second new ballOvers 81 on−0.33

First innings

402Afghanistan bat first
252Zimbabwe bat first
275Par
–Average here since 2019, 0 innings
428Highest here, Sri Lanka 2014

Afghanistan v Zimbabwe: Afghanistan 73%

Afghanistan are 73% to win the 1st Test at Sharjah Cricket Stadium, Zimbabwe 19%, with the draw at 8%.

Batting first, Afghanistan would make about 402 and Zimbabwe 252, against a par of 275.

Afghanistan have won 1 of their last 5 Tests, Zimbabwe 2 of theirs.

What total is safe?

Tests in United Arab Emirates since 2019

First inningsDefended
Under 2500%0 of 2
250–349No games
350–449No games
450+100%1 of 1

The case for Afghanistan

Batting standout

Rahmat Shah

Rahmat Shah

905 runs in the last 10 Tests. Career average 50.0.

Bowling standout

The case for Zimbabwe

Batting standout

Bowling standout

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