Oddsworth

India v West Indies, 1st ODI: India won by 8 wickets

India 300-2; our pre-match call 86%. West Indies 295-7; our pre-match call 14%.

India v West Indies ODI series 2026, 1st ODI

India won by 8 wickets

Sunday 27 September 2026, 2:00pm IST (day/night)Greenfield International Stadium, Thiruvananthapuram

Prediction locked in 26th September, 22:34 UTCWhen we've said 80–90%, the favourite won 47 of 53

The sides

MeasureIndiaWest Indies
Rating17722nd of 2015429th of 20
Home advantage+130Rating points–Touring
XI caps1,164ODIs between the XI505ODIs between the XI
Top-seven average44.4ODI batting in India32.0ODI batting in India

When India bat

+0.21 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–10+0.75MiddleOvers 11–45+0.11DeathOvers 46–50−0.14

When West Indies bat

+0.06 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–10+0.14MiddleOvers 11–45+0.02DeathOvers 46–50+0.22

First innings

319India bat first
246West Indies bat first
290Par
390Average here since 2019, 1 innings
390Highest here, India 2023

Kohli's form carries India past their own wobbles

India have lost series to New Zealand in January and England in July, five defeats in their last ten ODIs. West Indies have won two of their last ten, and lost 3–2 in New Zealand in July. We still make India 86% to win the opener, because the gap between the sides at home is wide: India have won 18 of the 26 ODIs against West Indies in India since 2005, and both ODIs at Greenfield. The first, in 2018, was against West Indies, bowled out for 104 and beaten by nine wickets.

The man keeping India clear is Virat Kohli. He has 760 runs in his last ten ODIs at an average of 95, against his career 58.3, at a strike rate of 108.7, and 2,261 runs against West Indies. Kuldeep Yadav has 33 wickets against them at 21.5, against his career 26.6. Par here is 290; the only other first innings was India's 390 for 5 against Sri Lanka in 2023.

What total is safe?

ODIs in India since 2019

First inningsDefended
Under 25016%5 of 31
250–27927%4 of 15
280–30931%4 of 13
310–33982%9 of 11
340+88%21 of 24

The case for India

  • Kohli averages 66.5 against West Indies across 43 ODIs, eight runs above his career 58.3.
  • Rohit Sharma has 1,613 runs against West Indies at an average of 57.6, and made 138 in the last of India's three ODIs in England in July.

Batting standout

Shubman Gill

Shubman Gill

783 runs in the last 10 ODIs. Career average 64.0, strike rate 103.

Bowling standout

The case for West Indies

  • Jayden Seales has 23 wickets in his last ten ODIs at an average of 19.2, the best of any bowler in either squad with ten wickets in that stretch.
  • Shai Hope has 988 runs against India at an average of 47.1, close to his career 48.4.

Batting standout

Shai Hope

Shai Hope

493 runs in the last 10 ODIs. Career average 51.5, strike rate 81.

Bowling standout

Jayden Seales

Jayden Seales

17 wickets in the last 10 ODIs. Career economy 5.94.

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