Skip to content

New Zealand v India, 1st T20I: India won by 4 wickets

New Zealand 225-4; our pre-match call 27%. India 230-6; our pre-match call 73%.

New Zealand v India T20I series 2026, 1st T20I

India won by 4 wickets

Thursday 22 October 2026, 8:00pm NZDT (day/night)Hagley Oval, Christchurch

Prediction locked in 22nd October, 06:22 UTCWhen we've said 70–80%, the favourite won 158 of 198

The sides

Measure	New Zealand	India
Rating	20668th of 101	22293rd of 101
Home advantage	+150Rating points	–Touring
XI caps	741T20Is between the XI	692T20Is between the XI
Top-seven average	28.7T20I batting in New Zealand	29.6T20I batting in New Zealand
Bowling average	26.2Five main bowlers, T20Is	25.1Five main bowlers, T20Is

When New Zealand bat

+0.60 an over

PowerplayOvers 1–6+0.55MiddleOvers 7–15+1.04DeathOvers 16–20−0.13

When India bat

+0.77 an over

PowerplayOvers 1–6+1.04MiddleOvers 7–15+0.70DeathOvers 16–20+0.57

First innings

173New Zealand bat first

188India bat first

171Par

161Average here since 2019, 15 innings

236Highest here, England 2025

New Zealand v India: India 73%

India are 73% to win the 1st T20I at Hagley Oval, New Zealand 27%.

Batting first, New Zealand would make about 173 and India 188, against a par of 171. First innings here since 2019 have averaged 161.

New Zealand have won 2 of their last 5 T20Is, India 2 of theirs.

What total is safe?

T20Is in New Zealand since 2019

First inningsDefended

Under 1508%1 of 13

150–16946%6 of 13

170–18973%11 of 15

190–20975%6 of 8

210+92%11 of 12

The case for New Zealand

Batting standout

Finn Allen

Finn Allen

359 runs in the last 10 T20Is. Career average 28.7, strike rate 170.

Bowling standout

Adam Milne

Adam Milne

16 wickets in the last 10 T20Is. Career economy 8.53.

The case for India

Batting standout

Shreyas Iyer

Shreyas Iyer

280 runs in the last 10 T20Is. Career average 31.7, strike rate 141.

Bowling standout

Arshdeep Singh

Arshdeep Singh

13 wickets in the last 10 T20Is. Career economy 8.65.