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Pakistan v Sri Lanka, Final: Pakistan 68%

Pakistan 68%. Sri Lanka 32%.

Pakistan ODI tri-series 2026, Final

Saturday 31 October 2026, 1:00pm GMT+5 (day/night)Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore

Prediction locks 31st October, 07:30 UTCWhen we've said 65–70%, the favourite won 77 of 111

The sides

MeasurePakistanSri Lanka
Rating16576th of 2016548th of 20
Home advantage+130Rating points–Touring
XI caps544ODIs between the XI471ODIs between the XI
Top-seven average35.3ODI batting in Pakistan28.8ODI batting in Pakistan
Bowling average29.0Five main bowlers, ODIs36.6Five main bowlers, ODIs

When Pakistan bat

+0.29 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–10+0.21MiddleOvers 11–45+0.36DeathOvers 46–50−0.06

When Sri Lanka bat

−0.19 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–10+0.29MiddleOvers 11–45−0.31DeathOvers 46–50−0.28

First innings

302Pakistan bat first
276Sri Lanka bat first
295Par
287Average here since 2019, 14 innings
375Highest here, Pakistan 2015

Pakistan v Sri Lanka: Pakistan 68%

Pakistan are 68% to win the Final at Gaddafi Stadium, Sri Lanka 32%.

Batting first, Pakistan would make about 302 and Sri Lanka 276, against a par of 295. First innings here since 2019 have averaged 287.

Pakistan have won 4 of their last 5 ODIs, Sri Lanka 3 of theirs.

What total is safe?

ODIs in Pakistan since 2019

First inningsDefended
Under 2509%1 of 11
250–27950%3 of 6
280–30950%6 of 12
310–33988%7 of 8
340+40%2 of 5

The case for Pakistan

Batting standout

Babar Azam

Babar Azam

408 runs in the last 10 ODIs. Career average 52.7, strike rate 86.

Bowling standout

The case for Sri Lanka

Batting standout

Pavan Rathnayake

Pavan Rathnayake

497 runs in the last 10 ODIs. Career average 52.9, strike rate 100.

Bowling standout

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