Oddsworth

Pakistan v Sri Lanka, 1st ODI: Pakistan won by 37 runs

Pakistan 305; our pre-match call 75%. Sri Lanka 268; our pre-match call 25%.

Pakistan ODI tri-series 2026, 1st ODI

Pakistan won by 37 runs

Sunday 18 October 2026, 1:00pm GMT+5 (day/night)Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium, Rawalpindi

Prediction locked in 18th October, 00:23 UTCWhen we've said 70–80%, the favourite won 111 of 151

The sides

MeasurePakistanSri Lanka
Rating16766th of 2016358th of 20
Home advantage+130Rating points–Touring
XI caps616ODIs between the XI471ODIs between the XI
Top-seven average37.4ODI batting in Pakistan27.6ODI batting in Pakistan
Bowling average28.4Five main bowlers, ODIs31.7Five main bowlers, ODIs

When Pakistan bat

+0.33 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–10+0.08MiddleOvers 11–45+0.45DeathOvers 46–50−0.01

When Sri Lanka bat

−0.14 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–10+0.17MiddleOvers 11–45−0.21DeathOvers 46–50−0.27

First innings

298Pakistan bat first
265Sri Lanka bat first
288Par
262Average here since 2019, 10 innings
336Highest here, New Zealand 2023

Pakistan v Sri Lanka: Pakistan 75%

Pakistan are 75% to win the 1st ODI at Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium, Sri Lanka 25%.

Batting first, Pakistan would make about 298 and Sri Lanka 265, against a par of 288. First innings here since 2019 have averaged 262.

Pakistan have won 3 of their last 5 ODIs, Sri Lanka 2 of theirs.

What total is safe?

ODIs in Pakistan since 2019

First inningsDefended
Under 2509%1 of 11
250–27950%3 of 6
280–30950%6 of 12
310–33988%7 of 8
340+40%2 of 5

The case for Pakistan

Batting standout

Babar Azam

Babar Azam

406 runs in the last 10 ODIs. Career average 52.9, strike rate 86.

Bowling standout

Haris Rauf

Haris Rauf

20 wickets in the last 10 ODIs. Career economy 5.79.

The case for Sri Lanka

Batting standout

Pavan Rathnayake

Pavan Rathnayake

506 runs in the last 10 ODIs. Career average 50.6, strike rate 100.

Bowling standout

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