Sydney Thunder v Adelaide Strikers: Thunder 64% to win

Thunder 64%. Strikers 36%.

Thursday 26 November 2026, 3:40pm AEDTNorth Sydney Oval, Sydney

Prediction locks 26th November, 04:10 UTCWhen we've said 60–70%, the favourite won 69 of 105

The sides

Measure	Thunder	Strikers
XI caps	1,805T20s between the XI	1,905T20s between the XI
Top-seven average	25.6T20 batting	26.4T20 batting

When Thunder bat

+0.32 an over

PowerplayOvers 1–6+0.62MiddleOvers 7–15+0.33DeathOvers 16–20−0.07

When Strikers bat

−0.42 an over

PowerplayOvers 1–6−0.97MiddleOvers 7–15−0.40DeathOvers 16–20+0.22

Thunder bat first

First innings191

Strikers short by31 runs

61%Thunder win

39%Strikers win

Strikers bat first

First innings172

Thunder chase in18 overs

66%Thunder win

34%Strikers win

Thunder v Strikers: Thunder 64% to win

Thunder are 64% to win, Strikers 36%. Thunder are rated 16.3 runs a game the stronger side.

Batting first, Thunder would make about 191 and Strikers 172, against a par of 166 at North Sydney Oval. Teams batting first have won 15 of the last 24 here.

What total is safe?

First inningsDefended

Under 15038%12 of 32

150–16947%9 of 19

170–18991%10 of 11

190–209100%5 of 5

210+83%5 of 6

The case for Thunder

Batting standout

Phoebe Litchfield

267 runs, SR 163, 7 sixes in the last 10. Rated +6.7 runs a game with the bat.

The case for Strikers

Bowling standout

Sophie Ecclestone

10 wkts, econ 5.83 in the last 10. Rated +7.1 runs a game with the ball.