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Melbourne Renegades v Brisbane Heat: Heat 62% to win

Renegades 38%. Heat 62%.

KFC BBL|16, match 31

Sunday 10 January 2027, 7:15pm AEDTJunction Oval, Melbourne

Prediction locks 10th January, 07:45 UTCWhen we've said 60–70%, the favourite won 289 of 481
Photo: DustyNail · CC BY-SA 4.0

Junction Oval

Melbourne, Australia · 2 BBL matches here

St Kilda's ground dates from 1856 and reopened in 2018 after a $40 million rebuild as Cricket Victoria's headquarters and Sheffield Shield home.

Opened
1856
Capacity
7,000 seats
Home to
Cricket Victoria; Melbourne Stars (BBL)

The ground's full record

Batting first here

100%

2 of 2 won batting first all-time. No completed game here in the last three years. BBL only.

Every first innings here

2 of 2

reached par (179). Median 205.

Recent BBL first innings average 170; games here have scored about 3% above their leagues' averages. Medians by era: 2008–2017 –, 2018–2022 205, 2023 onward –.

Too few completed first innings here to chart. Par comes from recent BBL scoring and the ground's record.

Weather: hot, like 10 Jan 2025

Rain risk

4%

of games in dry weather at Australian BBL grounds were shortened (26 of 639).

10 January 2025 at Junction Oval: 27 °C, humidity 50%, wind 11 km/h and 0 mm of rain during the hours of play. 27 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 10 January in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at Junction Oval during these hours.

These conditions are dry and hot, with no rain expected during the match. Only 4% of games at Australian BBL grounds in similar weather have been shortened or washed out, so rain should not be a factor. The heat and wind have made no measurable difference to first-innings scoring at Australian BBL grounds.

During play: 27.2 °C on average, humidity 50%, wind 11 km/h gusting to 30.

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