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Melbourne Renegades v Brisbane Heat: Heat 62% to win

Renegades 38%. Heat 62%.

KFC BBL|16, match 31

Sunday 10 January 2027, 7:15pm AEDTJunction Oval, Melbourne

Prediction locks 10th January, 07:45 UTCWhen we've said 60–70%, the favourite won 289 of 481
Photo: DustyNail · CC BY-SA 4.0

Junction Oval

Melbourne, Australia · 2 BBL matches here

St Kilda's ground dates from 1856 and reopened in 2018 after a $40 million rebuild as Cricket Victoria's headquarters and Sheffield Shield home.

Opened
1856
Capacity
7,000 seats
Home to
Cricket Victoria; Melbourne Stars (BBL)

The ground's full record

Batting first here

100%

2 of 2 won batting first all-time. No completed game here in the last three years. BBL only.

Every first innings here

2 of 2

reached par (179). Median 205.

Recent BBL first innings average 170; games here have scored about 3% above their leagues' averages. Medians by era: 2008–2017 –, 2018–2022 205, 2023 onward –.

Too few completed first innings here to chart. Par comes from recent BBL scoring and the ground's record.

Weather: wet, like 30 Jan 2019

Rain risk

37%

of games in wet weather at Australian BBL grounds were shortened or washed out (37 of 101).

30 January 2019 at Junction Oval: 27 °C, humidity 61%, wind 18 km/h and 2.8 mm of rain during the hours of play. 27 of 430 evenings within three weeks of 10 January in the last 10 years had at least 1 mm of rain at Junction Oval during these hours.

These conditions carry a medium rain risk, with 2.8 mm during the hours of play in the reference evening and the wettest spell from 20:00 to 21:00 overlapping the first innings. At Australian BBL grounds, 37% of games in similar wet weather were shortened or washed out. Heat and wind have made no measurable difference to scoring.

During play: 27.4 °C on average, humidity 61%, wind 18 km/h gusting to 63.

Heaviest rain 20:00–21:00, mostly over the first innings. Runs figures assume 20 overs. If overs are lost, totals and par come down.

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