Oddsworth

Australia v England, 1st T20I: England 61%

Australia 39%. England 61%.

Australia v England T20I series 2026, 1st T20I

Saturday 21 November 2026, 8:15am GMT (7:15pm local)Day/nightMelbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne

Prediction locks on Saturday 21 November, 7:45am GMTWhen we've said 60–65%, the favourite won 70 of 110

The sides

MeasureAustraliaEngland
Elo rating2078Rating points2403Rating points
Home advantage+150Rating points–Touring
XI caps374T20Is between the XI571T20Is between the XI
Top-seven average24.1T20I batting in Australia24.9T20I batting in Australia
Bowling average25.8Five main bowlers, T20Is26.1Five main bowlers, T20Is

When Australia bat

+0.31 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6+0.82MiddleOvers 7–15+0.22DeathOvers 16–20−0.14

When England bat

+0.39 an over
PowerplayOvers 1–6+0.54MiddleOvers 7–15+0.37DeathOvers 16–20+0.25

First innings

172Australia bat first
185England bat first
169Par
149Average here since 2019, 7 innings
186Highest here, India 2022

England favoured at 61 per cent on stronger batting

England are favoured at 61 per cent, and batting is the reason. Their XI rates 35.2 runs a match above an average Full Member side with the bat, against Australia's 29.7, while the bowling figures are almost level at 7.7 and 7.9. Overall, England's XI rates 42.9 runs a match above average, Australia's 37.6.

Harry Brook, in our predicted XI, has 432 runs in his last 10 T20s at a strike rate of 164.9 and a batting rating of 9.6 runs a match above an average player, England's highest-rated batter.

What total is safe?

T20Is in Australia since 2019

First inningsDefended
Under 15016%4 of 25
150–16967%12 of 18
170–18977%10 of 13
190–20975%3 of 4
210+100%5 of 5

The case for Australia

  • Australia's top seven strike at 161.1 per 100 balls against all bowling since 2023, above England's 151.7.
  • Mitchell Marsh has 271 runs in his last 10 T20s and a batting rating of 7.9 runs a match above an average player.
  • Nathan Ellis has 14 wickets in his last 10 T20s; Adam Zampa has 19.

Batting standout

Mitchell Marsh

Mitchell Marsh

271 runs in the last 10 T20Is. Career average 33.5, strike rate 142.

Bowling standout

Adam Zampa

Adam Zampa

19 wickets in the last 10 T20Is. Career economy 7.36.

The case for England

  • England's top seven average 32.8 against all bowling since 2023, above Australia's 30.2.
  • Harry Brook has 432 runs in his last 10 T20s at a strike rate of 164.9.
  • Adil Rashid has 12 wickets in his last 10 T20s and a bowling rating of 4.3 runs a match above an average player.

Batting standout

Harry Brook

Harry Brook

432 runs in the last 10 T20Is. Career average 36.2, strike rate 165.

Bowling standout

Jamie Overton

Jamie Overton

14 wickets in the last 10 T20Is. Career economy 7.86.

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