Mushfiqur Rahim
902 runs in the last 10 Tests. Career average 39.0.
The sides
| Measure | Bangladesh | West Indies |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 134610th of 11 | 14029th of 11 |
| Home advantage | +110Rating points | –Touring |
| XI caps | 489Tests between the XI | 226Tests between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 34.4Test batting in Bangladesh | 28.7Test batting in Bangladesh |
| Bowling average | 36.4Five main bowlers, Tests | 32.9Five main bowlers, Tests |
When Bangladesh bat
−0.05 an overNew ballOvers 1–20−0.12Old ballOvers 21–80+0.06Second new ballOvers 81 on−0.31
When West Indies bat
−0.18 an overNew ballOvers 1–20−0.28Old ballOvers 21–80−0.15Second new ballOvers 81 on−0.15
First innings
312Bangladesh bat first
284West Indies bat first
247Par
269Average here since 2019, 5 innings
310Highest here, Bangladesh 2023
Bangladesh favoured at home on a far stronger XI
Bangladesh are favoured, with a 47% win chance to West Indies' 34% and the draw at 18%, because their XI rates 60.1 runs a match above an average Full Member side to West Indies' 26.5. Neither side has named an XI, so both are our predictions. In Sylhet the first innings has averaged 269 since 2019 and the side batting first has won three of five decided matches; Bangladesh are projected for 312, West Indies 284, against a par of 247.
West Indies' top seven average 57.3 against off-spin since 2023, 85% above their 31 against all bowling, where Full Member top sevens improve by 22%. Bangladesh's off-spin comes from Mehidy Hasan Miraz, in our predicted XI, with 80 wickets at 28.6.
What total is safe?
Tests in Bangladesh since 2019
First inningsDefended
Under 2500%0 of 6
250–34963%5 of 8
350–44967%4 of 6
450+100%3 of 3
The case for Bangladesh
- Bangladesh's XI rates 60.1 runs a match above an average Full Member side, against West Indies' 26.5.
- Mushfiqur Rahim has 902 runs in his last ten matches and Litton Das 761, from Test averages of 39.02 and 36.21.
- Taijul Islam took 43 wickets in his last ten matches and Mehidy Hasan Miraz 31, and the top seven average 54.3 against off-spin, 47% above their 36.9 against all bowling.
Batting standout
Bowling standout
Taijul Islam
43 wickets in the last 10 Tests. Career average 31.0.
The case for West Indies
- Their top seven average 57.3 against off-spin since 2023, 85% above their 31 against all bowling, where the Full Member benchmark moves by 22%.
- Shamar Joseph has 45 wickets in his last ten matches and 67 in Tests at 24.0; Jayden Seales has 23 recent wickets and 74 at 26.9.
- Jomel Warrican has 47 Test wickets at 20.2 and 41 in his last ten matches, and Justin Greaves has 747 runs in ten.
Batting standout
Justin Greaves
747 runs in the last 10 Tests. Career average 33.9.
Bowling standout
Shamar Joseph
45 wickets in the last 10 Tests. Career average 24.0.