Daryl Mitchell
719 runs in the last 10 ODIs. Career average 56.8, strike rate 93.
The sides
| Measure | New Zealand | India |
|---|---|---|
| Elo rating | 1736Rating points | 1819Rating points |
| Home advantage | +130Rating points | –Touring |
| XI caps | 654ODIs between the XI | 966ODIs between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 36.4ODI batting in New Zealand | 42.9ODI batting in New Zealand |
| Bowling average | 33.8Five main bowlers, ODIs | 40.0Five main bowlers, ODIs |
When New Zealand bat
+0.07 an overPowerplayOvers 1–10−0.57MiddleOvers 11–45+0.23DeathOvers 46–50+0.28
When India bat
+0.74 an overPowerplayOvers 1–10+1.05MiddleOvers 11–45+0.71DeathOvers 46–50+0.29
First innings
269New Zealand bat first
260India bat first
271Par
228Average here since 2019, 8 innings
363Highest here, West Indies 2014
India favoured at 59%, the stronger XI by a wide batting margin
India are favoured at 59%, and the two XIs explain most of it: India's rates 62.3 runs a match above an average Full Member side, New Zealand's 19.5. New Zealand's batting carries much of that shortfall, 26 runs above average against India's 61.2, and a projected 269 batting first sits just under the 271 par. Seddon Park pulls the other way: first innings here have averaged 228 since 2019, and only three of eight completed matches have gone to the side batting first.
India's top seven average 38.6 against left-arm finger spin since 2023, 25% below their 51.6 against all bowling, where Full Member top sevens drop 4%. Mitchell Santner, in our predicted XI, bowls that type: 32 wickets at 30.00 and 4.33 an over since 2023.
What total is safe?
ODIs in New Zealand since 2019
First inningsDefended
Under 2500%0 of 13
250–27983%5 of 6
280–30940%2 of 5
310–339100%5 of 5
340+75%3 of 4
The case for New Zealand
- New Zealand's top seven average 55.4 against left-arm finger spin since 2023, against 38.1 against all bowling, and Axar Patel is India's spinner of that type.
- Daryl Mitchell has 719 runs in his last ten matches, and a batting rating of 10.6 runs a match above an average player.
- Mitchell Santner has 10 wickets in his last ten matches and 32 at 30.00 in the format since 2023, the best spin return on either side.
Batting standout
Bowling standout
Kyle Jamieson
18 wickets in the last 10 ODIs. Career economy 5.20.
The case for India
- India's XI rates 62.3 runs a match above an average Full Member side, with batting alone at 61.2 against New Zealand's 26.
- India's top seven average 51.6 against all bowling since 2023 at a strike rate of 102.4; Shubman Gill has 713 runs in his last ten matches and Virat Kohli 540.
- India's top seven average 117.1 against off-spin, 127% above their record against all bowling, and New Zealand's off-spinner in this XI is Glenn Phillips.
Batting standout
Shubman Gill
713 runs in the last 10 ODIs. Career average 62.5, strike rate 103.
Bowling standout
Arshdeep Singh
19 wickets in the last 10 ODIs. Career economy 5.44.