Babar Azam
406 runs in the last 10 ODIs. Career average 52.9, strike rate 86.
The sides
| Measure | Pakistan | England |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 16876th of 20 | 16407th of 20 |
| Home advantage | +130Rating points | –Touring |
| XI caps | 527ODIs between the XI | 411ODIs between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 36.5ODI batting in Pakistan | 34.3ODI batting in Pakistan |
| Bowling average | 30.7Five main bowlers, ODIs | 38.9Five main bowlers, ODIs |
When Pakistan bat
+0.36 an overPowerplayOvers 1–10+0.13MiddleOvers 11–45+0.50DeathOvers 46–50−0.11
When England bat
+0.02 an overPowerplayOvers 1–10+0.67MiddleOvers 11–45−0.15DeathOvers 46–50−0.06
First innings
306Pakistan bat first
272England bat first
295Par
287Average here since 2019, 14 innings
375Highest here, Pakistan 2015
Pakistan favoured at home, with a far stronger bowling rating
Pakistan are favoured, with a 63 per cent win probability to England's 37, and the gap is mostly in the bowling: their XI rates 37.7 runs a match above an average Full Member side, England's 21.8. Add home advantage in Lahore and a projected 306 batting first against England's 272, around a par of 295.
England's top seven average 63.1 against left-arm pace since 2023, more than a third above their 46.1 against all bowling, where Full Member top sevens drop by a tenth — and Pakistan's attack is led by Shaheen Shah Afridi, left-arm pace, in our predicted XI, with 53 wickets at 26.6 in the format.
What total is safe?
ODIs in Pakistan since 2019
First inningsDefended
Under 2509%1 of 11
250–27950%3 of 6
280–30950%6 of 12
310–33988%7 of 8
340+40%2 of 5
The case for Pakistan
- The XI rates 37.7 runs a match above an average Full Member side, against England's 21.8, and the difference sits almost entirely in the bowling.
- Shaheen Shah Afridi has 53 wickets at 26.6 and Haris Rauf 50 at 25.1 in ODIs since 2023, with Arafat Minhas's 13 wickets costing 14 apiece.
- Babar Azam has 407 runs in his last 10 matches, and Pakistan are projected 306 batting first against a par of 295.
Batting standout
Bowling standout
Haris Rauf
20 wickets in the last 10 ODIs. Career economy 5.79.
The case for England
- England's top seven average 63.1 against left-arm pace since 2023, a 37 per cent rise on their 46.1 against all bowling.
- Joe Root has 614 runs in his last 10 matches and Harry Brook 561, and England's batting rating of 27.1 is fractionally above Pakistan's 26.8.
- Liam Dawson has 8 wickets at 28.3 at an economy of 4.52, the best economy in England's attack.
Batting standout
Joe Root
544 runs in the last 10 ODIs. Career average 50.5, strike rate 88.
Bowling standout
Jamie Overton
14 wickets in the last 10 ODIs. Career economy 5.62.