Temba Bavuma
895 runs in the last 10 Tests. Career average 38.8.
The sides
| Measure | South Africa | Australia |
|---|---|---|
| Rating | 16452nd of 11 | 16851st of 11 |
| Home advantage | +110Rating points | –Touring |
| XI caps | 385Tests between the XI | 676Tests between the XI |
| Top-seven average | 33.0Test batting in South Africa | 34.1Test batting in South Africa |
| Bowling average | 25.7Five main bowlers, Tests | 26.9Five main bowlers, Tests |
When South Africa bat
−0.33 an overNew ballOvers 1–20−0.47Old ballOvers 21–80−0.36Second new ballOvers 81 on−0.01
When Australia bat
+0.07 an overNew ballOvers 1–20+0.12Old ballOvers 21–80+0.01Second new ballOvers 81 on+0.20
First innings
326South Africa bat first
289Australia bat first
261Par
264Average here since 2019, 3 innings
369Highest here, Australia 2006
South Africa v Australia: South Africa 47%
South Africa are 47% to win the 1st Test at Kingsmead, Australia 40%, with the draw at 14%. On a neutral ground we'd make Australia 48% and South Africa 36%: home advantage is what makes South Africa favourites.
Batting first, South Africa would make about 326 and Australia 289, against a par of 261. First innings here since 2019 have averaged 264.
South Africa have won 4 of their last 5 Tests, Australia 3 of theirs.
What total is safe?
Tests in South Africa since 2019
First inningsDefended
Under 25010%1 of 10
250–349100%6 of 6
350–449100%3 of 3
450+100%3 of 3
The case for South Africa
Batting standout
Bowling standout
Marco Jansen
50 wickets in the last 10 Tests. Career average 20.8.
The case for Australia
Batting standout
Travis Head
881 runs in the last 10 Tests. Career average 42.9.
Bowling standout
Mitchell Starc
56 wickets in the last 10 Tests. Career average 26.2.