How did Pakistan win with Haris Rauf as Shadab Khan's last partner?

Pakistan chased down England's 241 at Gaddafi Stadium with one wicket to spare. They owed it to an unbeaten last-wicket stand of 89 between Shadab Khan and Haris Rauf, which the report calls a record. Shadab finished on 113 not out from 96 balls, his first hundred in 74 ODIs.

Our ratings made Pakistan 63% favourites before the match. That edge depended on their specialist batters, and they had all gone with the target still a long way off.

How unlikely was it with Rauf at the other end?

Very unlikely, because Rauf is a pure tailender. His career batting average in men's ODIs is 7.44, where Shadab's is 31.41.

So the stand turned on how the strike was shared. Rauf faced just 19 balls for his 7 not out, which meant Shadab was taking almost every risk himself while still finding the single that kept his partner away from the bowling. That is rare discipline from a number eight chasing a target.

Is Shadab now a batter who bowls?

On recent form he is, though the evidence is thin. In the last two years he has batted only three times in ODIs and been dismissed once, with a half-century against Australia in June before this hundred. That is a short run of form rather than a long record.

Paradoxically, the leg-spinner picked as an all-rounder now brings more with the bat than with the ball. Our ratings make him about 3 runs a match better than an average ODI batter, and about 3 runs a match worse than an average ODI bowler.

Where should Pakistan pick Shadab?

As a batter who bowls. Pakistan won this chase because their number eight could bat like a specialist while Rauf held up an end, and Shadab's ratings say batting is now the stronger half of his game. The stand with Rauf is the strongest evidence yet that he can carry a chase from the lower order on his own.

That is a measure of how far his game has moved since he first came in as a bowler. The selectors should judge his place on his runs, and count his leg-spin overs as a bonus.